Kyrsten Sinema goes independent, scrambles Senate
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In an era where most Senate races require huge money and party support --- IMO Sinema is basically stating that this is her last term in the U.S. Senate representing Arizona. She is up for re-election in 2024 -- so two years left.
Sinema's situation is very different than Bernie's where he represents a small state and has been their Senator (or Congressman) just about forever and clearly aligns with progressive Democrats --- and his fund raising for quite a while has focused on small donations without the need for big money from a party in his small state of Vermont
I don't disagree with that. But she is 100% toast running as a dem at the primary level and properly perceives that she has a better chance as an independent even if it is a poor chance.
Just saying, people are focused on what it means for the Senate and she is not off there worrying about the Senate balance. She be looking for a survival plan.
Sinema is not comparable to Sanders or King at all.Sanders and King are progressive and democrat socialist,Sinema is a moderate republican.
Sinema realized she fucked up royally after the progressive Kelly who goes along with every democrat bill got reelected.Kelly getting reelected also guaranteed she was going to be primaried by a more progressive Dem and lose.I cant remember his same but there is a popular Dem Rep that Dems have been pressuring to primary Sinema .He wouldn't commit likely waiting to see how Dems did in the mid terms.With Kelly winning he surely was going to primary Sinema and win.
Sinema has no chance at winning re election as an independent.The far right loons that won republican nominations for 2022 means she has no chance at winning as a republican. The next 2 years she is going to sell herself to the highest bidders who will give her the highest paying job and consulting gigs when she leaves office in 2 years.
It's Ruben Gallego and from my understanding he's pretty progressive. Hobbs beat nut job Lake by only .6%. If the Republicans nominate a competent candidate for Senate in 2024 (like a Doug Ducey and that's a big if) they will win that seat. If Sinema runs it could guarantee a nut job like Lake winning there as there's no runoff or ranked choice from my understanding.
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Governors races(local) are different than Senate races (national).Red states like Louisiana,KY and NC has a democrat Governor and blue states Mass and Maryland just had Republican Governors.
A better comparison would be Kelly who won by 5 points.
There will also be much higher turnout in a presidential year favoring The Dem even more.
^ This is the truth. Sinema has no chance whether she is dem or independent. Dems only chance at holding the seat is another candidate.
Incumbents have an advantage. Being a former astronaut probably helps a little too vs. being a career liberal politician. It helps that Gallego is a military vet, but he's still basically a professional politician. Hobbs was simply a weaker candidate than Kelly as well. From my understanding she pretty much hid in her basement. Masters was just as nutty as Lake, just less charismatic/polished.