Kyle Bass Warns "All Hell Is About To Break Loose" In China

Out of all the guys who became famous predicting the 2008 crisis (John Paulson, Roubini, Taleb, Bass, Burry, Meredith Whitney, Eisman).....Kyle Bass has the best track record in terms of getting macro calls correct in the post-crisis time period, while guys like John Paulson have been revealed to be one-hit wonders. Just my opinion.

That's a very good point.
 
He does say many things, indeed. Sometimes he delivers, sometimes he doesn't.

I haven't quite done the math, in terms of his hit rate. I would just caution against taking what he says as gospel.

As to his performance, I am a bit surprised, since, from what I've read, as of mid-2015 his fund's produced smth like 1.5% annualized since inception. Not sure which source is correct.

Marty, you can say that about anyone. Yourself included. :(
 
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-03/kyle-bass-warns-all-hell-about-break-loose-china

Kyle Bass is repeating this argument for quite a while.

But here is a piece from PIMCO, too:

A Less ‘Impulsive’ China: Bracing for Lower Growth

https://blog.pimco.com/en/2017/05/a-less-impulsive-china-bracing-for-lower-growth

China could be the INFLECTION POINT for US sell off and sell off elsewhere!

Buy some popcorn and enjoy!

This reminds me of a fable I learnt as a child, "shepherd who cried wolf". He has cried wolf so many times that eventually when he gets it right no one will believe him...



upload_2017-5-4_10-30-54.jpeg
Liars are not believed even when they speak the truth. A shepherd-boy, who watched a flock of sheep near a village, brought out thevillagersthree or four times by crying out, “Wolf! Wolf!” and when his neighbors came to help him, laughed at them for their pains. The Wolf, however, did truly come at last.
 
Marty, you can say that about anyone. Yourself included. :(
i would be the first to say that I am often wrong, so maybe that is something me and Kyle Bass have in common. However, the difference between us is that I very rarely make grand pronouncements about the shape of things to come.
 
i would be the first to say that I am often wrong, so maybe that is something me and Kyle Bass have in common. However, the difference between us is that I very rarely make grand pronouncements about the shape of things to come.

Hmm....now....I wouldn't say that Marty....I see to remember a few grand pronouncements from you regarding Trump...Inflation....GS.....Banks....

Marty, you know I love your commentary. But you are not shy about putting your predictions out there. And please, keep em coming. I'm not saying this to stop you. I enjoy it dearly. :)
 
Hmm....now....I wouldn't say that Marty....I see to remember a few grand pronouncements from you regarding Trump...Inflation....GS.....Banks....

Marty, you know I love your commentary. But you are not shy about putting your predictions out there. And please, keep em coming. I'm not saying this to stop you. I enjoy it dearly. :)
I don't recall making any pronouncements about inflation. Trump, banks and Goldies, in particular, yes..
 
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-03/kyle-bass-warns-all-hell-about-break-loose-china

Kyle Bass is repeating this argument for quite a while.

But here is a piece from PIMCO, too:

A Less ‘Impulsive’ China: Bracing for Lower Growth

https://blog.pimco.com/en/2017/05/a-less-impulsive-china-bracing-for-lower-growth

China could be the INFLECTION POINT for US sell off and sell off elsewhere!

Buy some popcorn and enjoy!
%%
Dont know him personally,Nighthawk ,but i think K Bass is a good shot. In investments or 2nd amendment?? Yes; both.
Even though markets are not about prediction, if it were ,one investor could easily take over the world. If you had to pick one month for a stock sell off it could be May or SEPT; not a prediction.S& P, SPY, QQQ..... are still up trending; DIA looks like a sell , went thru 50 day moving average more than the SPY,QQQ.

Dallas Morning News has an interesting article about his[ K Bass] investor group is selling a 2,500 AC ranch, 70 minutes form Dallas TX.[Estimated sale price 50-100 million??]

By the way,Ray Dalio/Bridgewater noted as younger man he was surprised how the US stock market went up during the Mexican crisis years ago.[Jack Schwager Top Trader/hedge fund book].Not a prediction; thanks.
 
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-03/kyle-bass-warns-all-hell-about-break-loose-china

Kyle Bass is repeating this argument for quite a while.

But here is a piece from PIMCO, too:

A Less ‘Impulsive’ China: Bracing for Lower Growth

https://blog.pimco.com/en/2017/05/a-less-impulsive-china-bracing-for-lower-growth

China could be the INFLECTION POINT for US sell off and sell off elsewhere!

Buy some popcorn and enjoy!
I don't know, talk is cheap. I just don't see his conviction. If he really believed in this, why talk, did he do what Michael Burry did during the subprime crisis or George Soros during the Bank of England currency crisis?o_O
 
I don't know, talk is cheap. I just don't see his conviction. If he really believed in this, why talk, did he do what Michael Burry did during the subprime crisis or George Soros during the Bank of England currency crisis?o_O
Kyle Bass bought credit default swaps during the sub-prime crises and made about 500 million.
 
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