Kudos to MMs

So hard to say because this is not a runaway up market anymore, but it feels like FV is very close to being a viable model. I even know how to make it give me better timing on average also. Too early to tell until we see the next round of insanity.

"Get on me Burt, I can't lose" - Fast Eddie Felson
 
Projected FV was about 1190, ESZ0 got down to 1193, <7 Edge happened overnight. I have to give an approximate SPX value since SPX doesn't trade in the overnight, but it would be about 1196 (ESZ0 ~1193)

So ~ +12. The system is up about 25 handles in Sim swing trading in the last few days since the new model came online. All short trades, and the market has been cooperating. When the next huge wave of buying comes is the real test, since FV simply resists going above SPX for some reason.

I have stopped posting intraday trades - it is way too hard to keep up with and way too time consuming without automatically posting it. FWIW, I am well ahead there again in RT trading, +15 now. I know that doesn't do you any good.

Posting my system to Twitter makes no sense to me...
 
Projected FV is about 1197.09 here, so there is no swing trade (we need >14 edge to initiate position), but there is for an intraday trade, and I am S ES from 1205.75 in real trading. Using the new exit rules, odds great that it takes profit at about 1201 is ESZ0, and I have a bot posting bids in this area as the PT changes dynamically.
 
Out ESZ0 1201.75 +4.

Rigth now I am taking PTs this way. I don't particularly like the theory (for example, there is > 7 edge at exit in theory forcing another S entry immediately after exit, so why exit at all?), but the bank likes it. Unless this continues lower, we get a chance to get short again. Project short again entry, ~1204 ish ES.

Too bad there wasn't a clean entry into another Swing trade, we got very close when SPX got to 1210, but not close enough.
 
S sellers should back away, let it rise to 1205 ES, and let me in again. There are plenty of giddy buyers, so no fear of it not rising here.
 
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