Kudos to MMs

Quote from Pekelo:

Is this a new record, the FV being 90 pts off of the futures?
It also means the FV is meaningless...
The record was during the monster selloff when it reached - 165 intraday.
 
Quote from Pekelo:

Is this a new record, the FV being 90 pts off of the futures?
It also means the FV is meaningless...

Don't know how nitro calcs this, but 90 pts is more or less 10% south of where we are, and a 10% pullback after a bull run like the one we're having now is pretty much a normal thing.
 
Patience for those that want to go short.

I will point out one worry if you want short. Look at the gap that needs filling at ~1075 to ~1100 in SPX. You wll need a longer time frame chart to see it. That was a runaway gap to the downside and a strong attractor.
 
Most recently Prechter made both the upward (Long) for the rally into the summer of 2007 and culminating with a leveraged short recommendation of the S&P 500 futures on July 17 2007 through an interim report mailed out intraday. This position (the short of the S&P 500 futures from the 1500s) was maintained until February 2009 representing nearly 900 points with the index at around 680's. Prechter also predicted a large and B wave rally with target in the 1015 to 1050 area, and lasting for a Fibonacci 38.2% of the length of the decline from the highs in the S&P 500. Once wave B higher completes, Prechter expects the largest impact of the bearmarket will occur. He also took the contrary view that reflects the dollar having put in a major low and looked for dollar strength as dollar-based leverage unwinds
 
Quote from Chuck Krug:

...Prechter expects the largest impact of the bearmarket will occur. He also took the contrary view that reflects the dollar having put in a major low and looked for dollar strength as dollar-based leverage unwinds

Check out the below re the yen:

Insight: Troubling truths behind the yen

Published: August 5 2009 15:54 | Last updated: August 5 2009 15:54

Should the Japanese yen have a hundred in front of its current Y95 to the dollar?

Since the global credit crunch started, the financial markets have become even more accustomed to treating the yen as a haven, buying it as a liquid hedge along with US Treasury bills (and Swiss francs) when all else goes wrong. As we reach the second anniversary of the start of the panic phases of the credit crisis, not only is there growing evidence we are through the worst but it seems as though markets have lost sight of the underlying issues involving the yen.
 
"FV" ~917

FFFs ticked up odds of a rate hike later this year. As others have argued on this thread, that seems improbable. However, the longer end of the curve yields are also ticking up and that seems totally warranted to me. Bond traders are well aware of the reistance in the 10 at around 4%.

I am interested in the afternoon trade. Let's see what happens.
 
S ES 1010.50.

This is not a long term play. In fact, I want flat over the weekend. It is a short term play that will be closed by EOD.
 
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