here it is for the troll. I will post this til he posts science showing man made co2 is causing warming...
note for agw nutters who have trouble reading charts... the the green lags but follows the blue.
Changes in global atmospheric CO2 are lagging 11â12 months behind changes in global sea surface temperature and 9.5â10 months behind changes in global air surface temperature. Changes in atmospheric CO2 are not tracking changes in human emissions.
Global and Planetary Change Volume 100, January 2013, Pages 51â69
The phase relation between atmospheric carbon dioxide and global temperature
Ole Humlum a, b
Kjell Stordahl c
Jan-Erik Solheim d
a) Department of Geosciences, University of Oslo, P.O. Box 1047 Blindern, N-0316 Oslo, Norway
b) Department of Geology, University Centre in Svalbard (UNIS), P.O. Box 156, N-9171 Longyearbyen, Svalbard, Norway
c) Telenor Norway, Finance, N-1331 Fornebu, Norway
d) Department of Physics and Technology, University of Tromsø, N-9037 Tromsø, Norway
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2012.08.008, How to Cite or Link Using DOI
Abstract
Using data series on atmospheric carbon dioxide and global temperatures we investigate the phase relation (leads/lags) between these for the period January 1980 to December 2011. Ice cores show atmospheric CO2variations to lag behind atmospheric temperature changes on a century to millennium scale, but modern temperature is expected to lag changes in atmospheric CO2, as the atmospheric temperature increase since about 1975 generally is assumed to be caused by the modern increase in CO2. In our analysis we use eight well-known datasets: 1) globally averaged well-mixed marine boundary layer CO2 data, 2) HadCRUT3 surface air temperature data, 3) GISS surface air temperature data, 4) NCDC surface air temperature data, 5) HadSST2 sea surface data, 6) UAH lower troposphere temperature data series, 7) CDIAC data on release of anthropogene CO2, and 8) GWP data on volcanic eruptions. Annual cycles are present in all datasets except 7) and 8), and to remove the influence of these we analyze 12-month averaged data. We find a high degree of co-variation between all data series except 7) and 8), but with changes in CO2 always lagging changes in temperature. The maximum positive correlation between CO2 and temperature is found for CO2 lagging 11â12 months in relation to global sea surface temperature, 9.5â10 months to global surface air temperature, and about 9 months to global lower troposphere temperature. The correlation between changes in ocean temperatures and atmospheric CO2 is high, but do not explain all observed changes.
Highlights
⺠Changes in global atmospheric CO2 are lagging 11â12 months behind changes in global sea surface temperature. ⺠Changes in global atmospheric CO2 are lagging 9.5â10 months behind changes in global air surface temperature. ⺠Changes in global atmospheric CO2 are lagging about 9 months behind changes in global lower troposphere temperature. ⺠Changes in ocean temperatures explain a substantial part of the observed changes in atmospheric CO2 since January 1980. ⺠Changes in atmospheric CO2 are not tracking changes in human emissions.
