The nurse gets it right, so take note. The illiquidity of the instruments resulted in LTCM not being able to exit well. However, it was the excessive leverage that caused the need to exit in the first place. They were so leveraged that price moves they might have otherwise withstood with less leverage became unmanageable. The leverage sparked the need to sell, and the illiquidity resulted in the cascade at least in part because the other side smelled blood. They would not have sold if they didn't have to. They had to sell because of their leverage.Quote from Maverick74:
Yes, they were over leveraged 30-1. But they had no liquidity to get out you dunce. They WERE the market in most of the emerging market debt. There was no one to sell to. Getting lectured about LTCM by a nurse. That's a first.
Quote from Brass:
Are you sure? Weren't some of these companies already successful before the fact, with their being targeted largely due to their being vulnerable (to LBOs) rather than unviable? Again, I'd like to see the numbers. And, yes, I'm rather familiar with accounting, 101 and otherwise.
No argument there.
Quote from Maverick74:
I NEVER said they were not. I said it was not just a function of leverage. It was a function of liquidity or lack there of. My God.
Quote from Brass:
The nurse gets it right. The illiquidity of the instruments resulted in LTCM not being able to exit well. However, it was the excessive leverage that caused the need to exit in the first place. They were so leveraged that price moves they might have otherwise withstood with less leverage became unmanageable. The leverage sparked the need to sell, and the illiquidity resulted in the cascade. They would not have sold if they didn't have to. They had to sell because of their leverage.