Kennedy Leaving SCOTUS

1. I did not say it would grow at 5% I cited the Fed and when commenting I wrote ) "if"


2. As far as my real prognostications... here is my biggest below... and I am not sure anyone else in the country called it this well... I got the margin of victory and the fact trump could win even if Hillary had then national vote if it were close per nate silver's simulations...


https://www.elitetrader.com/et/thre...-without-the-algo.301548/page-84#post-4355689


its way too close to call. The algo was quite satisfied with the templates after the herding. So its looks like Hillary has a slight national lead overall by about 1 to 2 points after unskewing and averaging.

So its too close to call.

I find myself and the algo agreeing with Nate Silver's simulations lately.

Because most the national polls unskewed during the herding last week I now see Nate;s work as making sense. Instead of garbage in garbage out as it was before the herding... his work is now very "tradeable".



If you tell me who wins florida, colorado, and Pennsylvania... that is what I will be watching.






You JUST put me on ignore?! HTF do your Repugs fvck that sideways EVERY SINGLE TIME?
 
1. I did not say it would grow at 5% I cited the Fed and when commenting I wrote ) "if"


2. As far as my real prognostications... here is my biggest below... and I am not sure anyone else in the country called it this well... I got the margin of victory and the fact trump could win even if Hillary had then national vote if it were close per nate silver's simulations...


https://www.elitetrader.com/et/thre...-without-the-algo.301548/page-84#post-4355689


its way too close to call. The algo was quite satisfied with the templates after the herding. So its looks like Hillary has a slight national lead overall by about 1 to 2 points after unskewing and averaging.

So its too close to call.

I find myself and the algo agreeing with Nate Silver's simulations lately.

Because most the national polls unskewed during the herding last week I now see Nate;s work as making sense. Instead of garbage in garbage out as it was before the herding... his work is now very "tradeable".



If you tell me who wins florida, colorado, and Pennsylvania... that is what I will be watching.



You need to call tier1 tech support because you clearly quoted me whilst I am on ON IGNORE.
 
I took you off ignore to quote you. not real tough...
I was not going to let you misrepresent what I posted.

It was not my forecast...

and you fricken know it was a FED forecast not mine.


You need to call tier1 tech support because you clearly quoted me whilst I am on ON IGNORE.
 
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Time for the dem's to block for 2 years. After all, the next administration is coming; it's only courtesy.

Not a bad idea. Hopefully they will announce that strategy.

Can't think of a better way to increase the number of republican senators in the midterm. Refer to the ten dems that are in Trump-won states who are up for re-election.

Might want to think first and post after next time.
 
Nobody F's With the Jesus :)

Hmph.

Trump could pick Jesus Christ for his nominee and the left would still demonize him. They are going to lose their collective mind.

Buckle up and ensure your seatbacks and tray tables are in their upright position.

I don't know. With a name like that, a lot of the dems would assume that he is Hispanic.
Same for Santa Claus. Dems might vote for a hispanic like him too.
:cool:

 
OK I'm trying to figure this out. Am I correct in assuming that all they need now is 51 votes in the Senate for a nominee's confirmation? And if thats the case, aren't there 3 Republicans that are pro-choice? No way they'll let Roe V. Wade fall right? So whats gonna happen? A stalemate? What happens?
And more importantly....why didn't the market move up on the news?
Inquiring minds....
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The "nuclear option":

The nuclear option (or constitutional option) is a parliamentary procedure that allows the United States Senate to override a rule – specifically the 60-vote rule to close debate – by a simple majority of 51 votes, rather than the two-thirds supermajority normally required to amend the rules. The option is invoked when the majority leader raises a point of order that only a simple majority is needed to close debate on certain matters. The presiding officer denies the point of order based on Senate rules, but the ruling of the chair is then appealed and overturned by majority vote, establishing new precedent.

This procedure effectively allows the Senate to decide any issue by simple majority vote, regardless of existing procedural rules such as Rule XXII which requires the consent of 60 senators (out of 100) to end a filibuster for legislation, and 67 for amending a Senate rule. The term "nuclear option" is an analogy to nuclear weapons being the most extreme option in warfare.

In November 2013, Senate Democrats used the nuclear option to eliminate the 60-vote rule on executive branch nominations and federal judicial appointments other than those to the Supreme Court. In April 2017, Senate Republicans used the nuclear option to eliminate the exception for Supreme Court nominees, after the nomination of Neil Gorsuch failed to meet the requirement of 60 votes for ending the debate.[1][2]
As of January 2018, a three-fifths majority vote is still required to end debates on legislation.
 
Someones phone is ringing and that someone is John McCain. John isn't taking calls from Donald, so who is he talking to? The questions to ask is how big is Johns ego? We know the answer. How much does he hate Trump? We know that too. Just how much juice will they have to pump into him to get him to the Senate floor for a vote. The one republican, in name only, but none the less the one republican that can stall the vote until after the election. Big spot in the history books for the guy who did that. Might be a moot point if the dems don't gain any real ground come November, but it does buy them time until then.


They dont need McCuck, the deciding vote goes to Pence in this case.

The best part about this is that it was the dems who imposed the nuclear option under harry reid, how does that taste democrats?
 
They dont even need 51 votes, they only need 50, the Vice president or the speaker makes the decision if its 50/50, from what ive read.

This is the ultimate burn to democrats, they decided to choose the nuclear option and now they cant do anything to stop it, the ultimate irony.

OK I'm trying to figure this out. Am I correct in assuming that all they need now is 51 votes in the Senate for a nominee's confirmation? And if thats the case, aren't there 3 Republicans that are pro-choice? No way they'll let Roe V. Wade fall right? So whats gonna happen? A stalemate? What happens?
And more importantly....why didn't the market move up on the news?
Inquiring minds....
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The "nuclear option":

The nuclear option (or constitutional option) is a parliamentary procedure that allows the United States Senate to override a rule – specifically the 60-vote rule to close debate – by a simple majority of 51 votes, rather than the two-thirds supermajority normally required to amend the rules. The option is invoked when the majority leader raises a point of order that only a simple majority is needed to close debate on certain matters. The presiding officer denies the point of order based on Senate rules, but the ruling of the chair is then appealed and overturned by majority vote, establishing new precedent.

This procedure effectively allows the Senate to decide any issue by simple majority vote, regardless of existing procedural rules such as Rule XXII which requires the consent of 60 senators (out of 100) to end a filibuster for legislation, and 67 for amending a Senate rule. The term "nuclear option" is an analogy to nuclear weapons being the most extreme option in warfare.

In November 2013, Senate Democrats used the nuclear option to eliminate the 60-vote rule on executive branch nominations and federal judicial appointments other than those to the Supreme Court. In April 2017, Senate Republicans used the nuclear option to eliminate the exception for Supreme Court nominees, after the nomination of Neil Gorsuch failed to meet the requirement of 60 votes for ending the debate.[1][2]
As of January 2018, a three-fifths majority vote is still required to end debates on legislation.
 
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