Equities historically gained +3.1% on average during recessions. http://investmentscientist.com/2008/01/25/recession-and-stock-market-performance/Quote from Emini_Elvis:
day7793 I'm afraid I agree with you... I feel pessimistic about stocks due to them falling about 40% on average in a recession.
Quote from day7793:
Citizens of America are basically cowards. They have no guts and no inner resources to deal with life and the wrinkles it produces. They demand and feel entitled to things that they dont even deserve and their country always keep obliging them with appeasements and favors. Fed have cut rates, Congress has passed stimulus packages, FHA has increased housing limits to $ 729,000 and bond insurers are being bailed out. If that was not enough defaulting borrowers are appeased with promises of principal forgiveness .. the list goes on and on. There is no stone left unturned, yet they keep dwelling on doom and gloom and in fitful rage refusing every overture made to them.
John F. Kennedy once said " Ask not what your country can do for you, ask what you can do for your country". He was a wise man, he knew the laggard and cowpokes and cowards populated his citizenry, he knew these were wee wee babies crying at every instance and they look towards their Government as a general caretaker. He called upon their asses and yelled at them.
Forty years later, It all shows up as a collective emotion in the stock market. It all shows up clear as a bell. Lets turn the page to March 2008.
Negative sentiment overtook lots of positive news today March 6, 2008. Anticipation of Friday's unemployment report intensified into late hour selling binges, fear gripped buyers who did not have any reason to jump into the fractured indexes. The market was broken beyond repair, nothing could have saved it at all. It was a classic fear filled anticipatory panic attack in the last hour.
With anticipatory anxiety in a full gear we managed to bring the market down to its knees again. Its been one week of selling binges and all the indexes are way oversold at this juncture. The thing is cooked and burned beyond belief.
The only thing left was to pee in the diapers and that too will be accomplished on Friday morning.
Hats off to the cowards.
Quote from day7793:
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No one gets rich in bear markets.
Quote from day7793:
It all comes down to negative attitudes. Real estate tanked because people like you stopped buying. Stock market tanked because you were deluded by recessionary fears. People like you have dealt a bigger blow to the markets than a recession would have. Now your goose is cooked, sell the rallies, grind a nickle here a penny there and call that trading. You ain't getting rich thats for sure.
Quote from Maverickz:
Ok I finally got this far in this moronic thread. Are you seriously so stupid that you think Real Estate tanked b/c people stopped buying? EVERYTHING in the US is supply and demand. Housing was overbuilt so there were more houses for sale that there were people wanting to buy them. THEN to try and curb this banks started lending money to people with sub-prime credit to get these extra houses sold. Problem was that not only did a lot of these sub-prime borrowers default on their loans, the builders kept right on building more shit to sale knowing damn good and well no one was going to buy them since the demand was basically gone. This was NOT something the general population of the US just decided to do on a whim.
Either way I said it before and I say it again: If you don't like the way the US markets are working...DON'T TRADE THEM. Either way STFU!
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Quote from day7793:
When you say supply and demand that what happened idiot brains. The Demand dried up, people stopped buying for various reasons. Some were gaming the markets for discounts, some were scared in their tracks. If the buyer stops buying the whole industry collapses, the whole cycle stops. Real estate valuations dropped because there were no new comps! That's when the refinances and lenders got in trouble. They can't lend on collateral that was not enough and the homeowner had no other alternative but to default since he cannot sell in a market with no buyers.