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Doug Kass: Vicious Correction Due
Friday, May 15, 2009 4:45 PM
By: Dan Weil Article Font Size
Doug Kass, president of money manager Seabreeze Partners, says that while the stock market wonât return to its March lows, a âvicious correctionâ is in store.
âItâs going to be bumpy and have a lot of potholes, so weâll have to be cautious,â Kass told CNBC TV.
The long-short fund that he began Jan. 1 is now short for the first time.
âThe good news is I believe that ⦠the variant view that weâve seen a generational low is intact,â he says.
The bad news: âI do think that stocks are ahead of fundamentals,â he says.
âI think the stock market recovery, I would call [it] the 'Miley Cyrus' recovery. Itâs very popular now (however) there may be not so much talent underneath thatâs reflected in prices. And perhaps it wonât be as enduring.â
And what are the bearish signs? âThereâs a hole in the consumerâs balance sheet,â Kass says.
âAnd thereâs a hole in his confidence, which is justified because of the ill-fated dependency on the asset appreciation of home prices and stock prices.â
Bottom line: âThe consumption binge is over,â he says. âThis great debt unwind, both from a standpoint of consumer and banking balance sheets, is going to have a long and negative tail to it.â
Others also see stocks correcting before resuming their rise.
âThe market ⦠has become somewhat overbought, and the correction should essentially follow, but I doubt it will go and make new lows,â investment guru Marc Faber told Bloomberg.