Ka-please I don't even live here. ES
- Thread starter aquarian1
- Start date
from mam.econoday:
7:59 AM 4/19/2016
Data on the housing sector are slowing going into the key spring season. Housing starts fell a very sharp 8.8 percent in March to a 1.089 million annualized rate which is well below Econoday's consensus for 1.167 million and below the low estimate for 1.120 million. Permits are showing similar weakness, down 7.7 percent at a 1.086 million rate which is likewise below both the consensus and low estimate.
from barcharts:
OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Jun E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 +0.41%) are up +0.47% at a 4-1/2 month high and European stocks are up +1.39% at a 1-month high. Energy producing stocks gained as the price of crude oil pushed back above $40 a barrel, and commodity producers rose, led by a +1.8% gain in Newmont Mining in pre-market trading, after the price of silver (SIK16 +2.72%)surged +2.32% to a 10-1/2 month high. U.S. stocks also received a boost on upbeat comments from Boston Fed President Rosengren who said the U.S. economy remains "fundamentally sound" despite a slow Q1. European stocks received a boost after a gauge of German investor sentiment rose as the German Apr ZEW survey of expectations of economic growth climbed to a 4-month high. Asian stocks settled mostly higher: Japan +3.68%, Hong Kong +1.30%, China +0.30%, Taiwan -0.37%, Australia +1.01%, Singapore South Korea -0.05%, India closed for holiday. Japanese stocks rallied as the yen weakened against the dollar on speculation that the BOJ may boost stimulus measures in the wake of damage caused to Japan's economy from the recent earthquake.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.16%) is down -0.15%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.17%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.49%.
Jun T-note prices (ZNM16 -0.11%)are down -6 ticks.
Boston Fed President Rosengren said the U.S. economy remains "fundamentally sound" despite a slow Q1 and "we will be raising rates faster than what's reflected in the financial markets."
The German Apr ZEW survey expectations of economic growth rose +6.9 to 11.2, stronger than of +3.7 to 8.0 and the highest in 4 months.
MARKET COMMENTS
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 +0.41%) this morning are up +9.75 points (+0.47%) at a fresh 4-1/2 month high. Monday's closes: S&P 500 +0.65%, Dow Jones +0.60%, Nasdaq +0.58%. The S&P 500 on Monday shook off early losses and rallied to a new 4-1/2 month high. Stocks were boosted by upbeat comments from New York Fed President Dudley who said that U.S. economic news is "mostly favorable" and that monetary-policy adjustments are likely to be gradual and cautious. Stocks were also boosted by a partial recovery in oil prices from sharp early losses on the failure of Sunday's Doha production freeze meeting.
June 10-year T-note prices (ZNM16 -0.11%) this morning are down -6 ticks. Monday's closes: TYM6 -4.50, FVM6 -3.00. Jun T-notes on Monday closed lower on reduced safe-haven demand for T-notes after the S&P 500 shook off early losses and rallied to a new 4-1/2 month high. T-notes were also undercut by comments from New Yok Fed President Dudley who said he said he's confident that inflation will return to the Fed's 2% target as transitory downward factors dissipate.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.16%) this morning is down -0.140 (-0.15%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0019 (+0.17%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.53 (+0.49%). Monday's closes: Dollar Index -0.206 (-0.22%), EUR/USD +0.0029 (+0.26%), USD/JPY +0.06 (+0.06%). The dollar index on Monday closed lower on the weaker-than-expected U.S. Apr NAHB housing market index report and on dovish comments from New York Fed President Dudley suggesting that he favors delaying additional Fed interest rate hikes.
May WTI crude oil (CLK16 +1.66%) is up +54 cents (+1.36%). May gasoline (RBK16 +1.62%) is up +0.0216 (+1.50%). Monday's closes: CLK6 -0.58 (-1.44%), RBK6 -0.0247 (-1.69%). May crude and May gasoline on Monday fell to 1-week lows and closed lower on the lack of an agreement between OPEC and non-OPEC oil producers at Sunday's meeting in Doha after Saudi Arabian Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman said that Saudi Arabia would not restrain its production without commitments from other major oil producers including Iran. Crude oil was also pressured by expectations for Wednesday's weekly EIA data to show that U.S crude supplies rose +3.0 million bbl last week. Crude recovered from its worst levels as a strike by oil workers in Kuwait, OPEC's fourth-largest producer, extended into a second day and curbed Kuwait's crude output by nearly 60% to 1.7 million bpd.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR04/19/2016
US 0830 ET Mar housing starts expected -1.0% to 1.166 million, Feb +5.2% to 1.178 million. Mar building permits expected +2.0% to 1.200 million, Feb was -2.2% to 1.177 million.
JPN 0130 ET Japan Mar nationwide department store sales, Feb +0.2% y/y.
1950 ET Japan Mar trade balance expected +834.6 billion yen, Feb +242.2 billion yen. Mar exports expected -7.0% y/y, Feb -4.0% y/y. Mar imports expected -16.6% y/y, Feb -14.2% y/y.
GER 0500 ET German Apr ZEW survey expectations of economic growth expected +3.7 to 8.0, Mar 4.3. Apr ZEW survey current situation expected +0.1 to 50.8, Mar 50.7.
EUR 0400 ET Eurozone Feb current account, Jan +25.4 billion euros (nsa).
0500 ET Eurozone Feb construction output, Jan+3.6% m/m and +6.0% y/y.
7:59 AM 4/19/2016
Data on the housing sector are slowing going into the key spring season. Housing starts fell a very sharp 8.8 percent in March to a 1.089 million annualized rate which is well below Econoday's consensus for 1.167 million and below the low estimate for 1.120 million. Permits are showing similar weakness, down 7.7 percent at a 1.086 million rate which is likewise below both the consensus and low estimate.
from barcharts:
OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Jun E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 +0.41%) are up +0.47% at a 4-1/2 month high and European stocks are up +1.39% at a 1-month high. Energy producing stocks gained as the price of crude oil pushed back above $40 a barrel, and commodity producers rose, led by a +1.8% gain in Newmont Mining in pre-market trading, after the price of silver (SIK16 +2.72%)surged +2.32% to a 10-1/2 month high. U.S. stocks also received a boost on upbeat comments from Boston Fed President Rosengren who said the U.S. economy remains "fundamentally sound" despite a slow Q1. European stocks received a boost after a gauge of German investor sentiment rose as the German Apr ZEW survey of expectations of economic growth climbed to a 4-month high. Asian stocks settled mostly higher: Japan +3.68%, Hong Kong +1.30%, China +0.30%, Taiwan -0.37%, Australia +1.01%, Singapore South Korea -0.05%, India closed for holiday. Japanese stocks rallied as the yen weakened against the dollar on speculation that the BOJ may boost stimulus measures in the wake of damage caused to Japan's economy from the recent earthquake.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.16%) is down -0.15%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.17%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.49%.
Jun T-note prices (ZNM16 -0.11%)are down -6 ticks.
Boston Fed President Rosengren said the U.S. economy remains "fundamentally sound" despite a slow Q1 and "we will be raising rates faster than what's reflected in the financial markets."
The German Apr ZEW survey expectations of economic growth rose +6.9 to 11.2, stronger than of +3.7 to 8.0 and the highest in 4 months.
MARKET COMMENTS
June E-mini S&Ps (ESM16 +0.41%) this morning are up +9.75 points (+0.47%) at a fresh 4-1/2 month high. Monday's closes: S&P 500 +0.65%, Dow Jones +0.60%, Nasdaq +0.58%. The S&P 500 on Monday shook off early losses and rallied to a new 4-1/2 month high. Stocks were boosted by upbeat comments from New York Fed President Dudley who said that U.S. economic news is "mostly favorable" and that monetary-policy adjustments are likely to be gradual and cautious. Stocks were also boosted by a partial recovery in oil prices from sharp early losses on the failure of Sunday's Doha production freeze meeting.
June 10-year T-note prices (ZNM16 -0.11%) this morning are down -6 ticks. Monday's closes: TYM6 -4.50, FVM6 -3.00. Jun T-notes on Monday closed lower on reduced safe-haven demand for T-notes after the S&P 500 shook off early losses and rallied to a new 4-1/2 month high. T-notes were also undercut by comments from New Yok Fed President Dudley who said he said he's confident that inflation will return to the Fed's 2% target as transitory downward factors dissipate.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.16%) this morning is down -0.140 (-0.15%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0019 (+0.17%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.53 (+0.49%). Monday's closes: Dollar Index -0.206 (-0.22%), EUR/USD +0.0029 (+0.26%), USD/JPY +0.06 (+0.06%). The dollar index on Monday closed lower on the weaker-than-expected U.S. Apr NAHB housing market index report and on dovish comments from New York Fed President Dudley suggesting that he favors delaying additional Fed interest rate hikes.
May WTI crude oil (CLK16 +1.66%) is up +54 cents (+1.36%). May gasoline (RBK16 +1.62%) is up +0.0216 (+1.50%). Monday's closes: CLK6 -0.58 (-1.44%), RBK6 -0.0247 (-1.69%). May crude and May gasoline on Monday fell to 1-week lows and closed lower on the lack of an agreement between OPEC and non-OPEC oil producers at Sunday's meeting in Doha after Saudi Arabian Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman said that Saudi Arabia would not restrain its production without commitments from other major oil producers including Iran. Crude oil was also pressured by expectations for Wednesday's weekly EIA data to show that U.S crude supplies rose +3.0 million bbl last week. Crude recovered from its worst levels as a strike by oil workers in Kuwait, OPEC's fourth-largest producer, extended into a second day and curbed Kuwait's crude output by nearly 60% to 1.7 million bpd.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR04/19/2016
US 0830 ET Mar housing starts expected -1.0% to 1.166 million, Feb +5.2% to 1.178 million. Mar building permits expected +2.0% to 1.200 million, Feb was -2.2% to 1.177 million.
JPN 0130 ET Japan Mar nationwide department store sales, Feb +0.2% y/y.
1950 ET Japan Mar trade balance expected +834.6 billion yen, Feb +242.2 billion yen. Mar exports expected -7.0% y/y, Feb -4.0% y/y. Mar imports expected -16.6% y/y, Feb -14.2% y/y.
GER 0500 ET German Apr ZEW survey expectations of economic growth expected +3.7 to 8.0, Mar 4.3. Apr ZEW survey current situation expected +0.1 to 50.8, Mar 50.7.
EUR 0400 ET Eurozone Feb current account, Jan +25.4 billion euros (nsa).
0500 ET Eurozone Feb construction output, Jan+3.6% m/m and +6.0% y/y.
Lapse rate (air pressure drop with elevation)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lapse_rate
http://www.onlineconversion.com/temperature.htm
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draft
http://www.engineeringtoolbox.com/natural-draught-ventilation-d_122.html
The temperature difference between the outside air and the inside air creates a "natural draft" forcing air through the building.
The direction of the air flow depends on the temperature of the outside and inside air. If the inside air temperature is higher than the outside air temperature, the inside air density is less than the outside air density, and the inside air will flow up and out of the upper parts of the building. The colder outside air will flow in to the lower parts of the building.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lapse_rate
http://www.onlineconversion.com/temperature.htm
----------
draft
http://www.engineeringtoolbox.com/natural-draught-ventilation-d_122.html
The temperature difference between the outside air and the inside air creates a "natural draft" forcing air through the building.
The direction of the air flow depends on the temperature of the outside and inside air. If the inside air temperature is higher than the outside air temperature, the inside air density is less than the outside air density, and the inside air will flow up and out of the upper parts of the building. The colder outside air will flow in to the lower parts of the building.
Kinetic energy = 1/2 × mass × velocity2
http://www.homepower.com/articles/wind-power/design-installation/wind-energy-physics
http://www.homepower.com/articles/wind-power/design-installation/wind-energy-physics