Well, you've obviously got 4.52 and 4.39 just below, which should at least provide temporary support. (4.60 was arguably the important one in the 4.52 vicinity, and it held the past two days; doesn't necessarily mean shit for the next test, though.)
You're also coming up on natty's favorite time to rally, October and November, as it tends to make its annual highs in either the Nov or Dec contract. Commercial hedgers are near record net short levels so they can buy the shit up ahead of the winter.
So, overall, depending on your weighted average price, I think you have good R:R here, but naturally, that doesn't mean it will work out. Natty is a fickle mistress.
You're also coming up on natty's favorite time to rally, October and November, as it tends to make its annual highs in either the Nov or Dec contract. Commercial hedgers are near record net short levels so they can buy the shit up ahead of the winter.
So, overall, depending on your weighted average price, I think you have good R:R here, but naturally, that doesn't mean it will work out. Natty is a fickle mistress.
