Me watching the modeling experts, political pundits and talking heads ramble on.
Just a flu bro...literally
- Thread starter Daxtrader
- Start date
The White House Advisor Whose Model Predicted Zero Deaths by Mid-May Now Says It's “Scary" to Go to Work
Multiple coronavirus cases are cropping up in the White House, enraging Trump even while he pushes for social distancing to end.
https://www.gq.com/story/white-house-advisor-scared
This is a momentous week in the fight against the coronavirus. According to White House senior adviser Kevin Hassett's model, there will be zero deaths in the U.S. from the disease by May 15. The Trump administration has reportedly been relying on Hassett's predictive model, among others, to make determinations on reopening. Hassett isn't an epidemiologist, nor does he have a background in public health. He's an economist and formerly served as the chair for the Council of Economic Advisers to the president. And, as he told CBS's Face the Nation Sunday, the pandemic has him scared to go enter the White House.
"It is scary to go to work," he said, adding, "I think that I'd be a lot safer if I was sitting at home instead of going to the West Wing. But, you know, it's a time when people have to step up and serve their country." Hassett also said that he practices "aggressive social distancing" and will "wear a mask when I feel it's necessary."
Hassett's predictive model may leave a lot to be desired—Nate Silver believes that he arrived at it by using a stock Excel spreadsheet function—but it's wise of him to wear a mask, since the White House is on its way to becoming a coronavirus hotspot. Katie Miller, Mike Pence's press secretary and the wife of White House adviser Stephen Miller, tested positive for the virus late last week. That news came out shortly after Pence met in person with several food company CEOs. Not only did Pence not wear a mask but the executives who were wearing them were forced to remove them as the meeting started.
(More at above url)
Multiple coronavirus cases are cropping up in the White House, enraging Trump even while he pushes for social distancing to end.
https://www.gq.com/story/white-house-advisor-scared
This is a momentous week in the fight against the coronavirus. According to White House senior adviser Kevin Hassett's model, there will be zero deaths in the U.S. from the disease by May 15. The Trump administration has reportedly been relying on Hassett's predictive model, among others, to make determinations on reopening. Hassett isn't an epidemiologist, nor does he have a background in public health. He's an economist and formerly served as the chair for the Council of Economic Advisers to the president. And, as he told CBS's Face the Nation Sunday, the pandemic has him scared to go enter the White House.
"It is scary to go to work," he said, adding, "I think that I'd be a lot safer if I was sitting at home instead of going to the West Wing. But, you know, it's a time when people have to step up and serve their country." Hassett also said that he practices "aggressive social distancing" and will "wear a mask when I feel it's necessary."
Hassett's predictive model may leave a lot to be desired—Nate Silver believes that he arrived at it by using a stock Excel spreadsheet function—but it's wise of him to wear a mask, since the White House is on its way to becoming a coronavirus hotspot. Katie Miller, Mike Pence's press secretary and the wife of White House adviser Stephen Miller, tested positive for the virus late last week. That news came out shortly after Pence met in person with several food company CEOs. Not only did Pence not wear a mask but the executives who were wearing them were forced to remove them as the meeting started.
(More at above url)
Those kangaroos look politically motivated. I'd go with the dispassionate, scientific models.
Interesting in that I keep reading the fear mongers saying WH is predicting many more deaths.
The criteria for re-opening is 14 days of declining case — not no new cases.
not everyone's...
And, considering were doing progressively more testing, that is a pretty suspect filter.
And, considering were doing progressively more testing, that is a pretty suspect filter.
https://www.bbc.com/news/health-52623141
The number of people who have died because of Covid-19 is nearly twice as high as the figure we hear announced every day.
By 1 May, the number of coronavirus deaths announced by the UK government was just over 28,000.
Looking back at death registrations filed then, the figure is higher: just over 36,000 death certificates mentioned Covid-19.
The measure preferred by statisticians, counting all deaths above what would be expected, was even higher: more than 50,000.
The number of people who have died because of Covid-19 is nearly twice as high as the figure we hear announced every day.
By 1 May, the number of coronavirus deaths announced by the UK government was just over 28,000.
Looking back at death registrations filed then, the figure is higher: just over 36,000 death certificates mentioned Covid-19.
The measure preferred by statisticians, counting all deaths above what would be expected, was even higher: more than 50,000.
Of course we are watching an absurd number prescriptions being written for hydroxychloroquine in most countries plus an entire network of underground non-prescription hydroxychloroquine distribution. The entire situation is absurd since nearly every proper study shows hydroxychloroquine has no medical benefit in treating COVID-19.
Hydroxychloroquine–Number Of Prescriptions Explodes In France
https://www.forbes.com/sites/alexle...umber-of-prescriptions-explode-in-france/amp/
Despite the warnings around taking hydroxychloroquine to combat the symptoms of COVID-19, prescriptions in France have increased by as much as 7,000% in certain parts of the country since the pandemic began.
As reported by La Provence, a study looking at the 466 million French prescriptions written since the pandemic began in France, show a huge spike in doctors prescribing the drug. In the last week of March, for instance, over 10,000 people were prescribed hydroxychloroquine in Marseille alone.
(More at above url)
Hydroxychloroquine–Number Of Prescriptions Explodes In France
https://www.forbes.com/sites/alexle...umber-of-prescriptions-explode-in-france/amp/
Despite the warnings around taking hydroxychloroquine to combat the symptoms of COVID-19, prescriptions in France have increased by as much as 7,000% in certain parts of the country since the pandemic began.
As reported by La Provence, a study looking at the 466 million French prescriptions written since the pandemic began in France, show a huge spike in doctors prescribing the drug. In the last week of March, for instance, over 10,000 people were prescribed hydroxychloroquine in Marseille alone.
(More at above url)