Quote from Scientist:
No, mechanical trading systems don't. They have a lot of downsides to them, anyway. That's why I tend to use a CPU that has several times more processing power than yours (in fact: 100,000,000*E^10,000 - larger than the number of known particles in the universe and cannot be written out fully on any medium!) - This CPU has amazing speed, abilities and runs on BrainOS '81 by GOD. I mentioned this earlier.
I watch hundreds of indicators, but at the end of the day, I want my brain to be filter to my trading opportunities, not a machine.
Intuition, feeling? In TRADING??? What are you talking about man? I have a fully thought-out trading system with rules (written down) that I follow, improve and update religiously.
I don't need a computer to execute them. Jesse Livermore didn't, doing the same kind of scalping, ~120 years ago...
Well, how smart. Actually, very often order flow lies. And this is where opportunities arise. The "fake signals" should be your friends. If not, you're on the opposite side to the pro's!
I'm talking about finding these opportunities and "observing" depth and T&S, not necessarily to follow it as "confirmation".
Fernando Gonzalez said (I quote!) during his chat on ET a few days ago:
<i>
"Since we are in a two-sided market (where participants are allowed to go LONG and SHORT any time)
Momentum is established by the number of Bulls versus the number of Bears
If there are more BULLS ... the market tanks straight DOWN
BULLS = Selling Energy
If there are more BEARS ... the market Skyrockets steeper than the Space Shuttle
BEARS = Buying Energy
do you see that my brain is inverted?
It's the only reason why I'm alive still. So ... Momentum .... the number of Bulls vs Bears ..... is king of direction"</i>
Do You know that this is probably the most well-kept secret in the Trading world? Amazing that he just said it there openly like that - But you have not the faintest idea yet how fundamentally valuable this is!
More bears=bullish (selling energy)
More bulls=bearish (buying energy
Until you get this, you will in fact always be on the OPPOSITE side of the trade - Like all losers.
You should also read the chat transcript and study it well!
Once you understand this concept, watch market depth again! It now can become a lethal weapon to you! I wish you good luck.
Actual scalping performance, smartie. First, you said yourself that scalping systems cannot be backtested. Second, nobody gives a flying fart about "hypothetical performance".
Yes, I can have "no losing days" If I'm scalping very short-term.
If I do 10-20 or more trades (a realistic daily scalping frequency on ES/NQ), then I expect to be net profitable at the end of the day.
Otherwise, how good am I if I'm not net profitable after 10-20 trades???
Regarding my "edge" is not patterns in market depth. What the edge is, I clearly defined and detailed in my post. Read again.
Again, You have no idea what you're talking about man. Any professional scalper knows that you don't "buy at market". What you try to do is X-M "cross the market", that is, so even you understand it, to buy at the bid and sell at the ask. With the filling fluctuations in the ES, this is indeed possible, and you're already 1 tick ahead of the game. If not, pass.
If you're afraid that the market may "move against you quickly", such as in a breakdown promising high velocity, then you put in a market order and i.e. sell 1/2 of your position as soon as you're up 4-5 ticks and trail your stop initially 3-4, then 3-6 ticks behind.
No noise, brother. You just can't read it. If I showed you an EEG, you wouldn't know what it means, and nothing makes sense and seems all fuzzy and random to you.
Well, if I showed that EEG to a trained doctor, he would be able to tell me whole stories and their meaning out of that EEG... Trust me.
It's all real, true market action, no matter what timeframe. It all starts somewhere - small, that is.
~The Scientist

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