Originally posted by easyrider
Its quite interesting how many new traders do well the first week or two. Happens way too often to be coincidence, imo. I think it has something to do with the fear factor. You dont have much fear in the beginning. After awhile the losing trades begin to affect your judgement.
I have a suspicion it may actually be the opposite, although I agree with you on the fear factor.
The first week, discipline is at its best, and fear is at its highest level, so they wait for their setups (which they have tested and watched and papertraded for a long time) to set up and then act on them.
The second week, particularly after a winning first week, they start to think they know something, this is easy etc etc, so the discipline level retreats, the fear factor diminishes, and they start anticipating their setups ("Why wait for this to set up when I'm pretty sure its going to, and I can make an extra point/2 points/5 points by putting the position on now") rather than waiting for them to set up correctly. Alternatively they throw them out completely and start trading on gut feel (because now they know something! Just look at how well they did last week).
Been there, done that.

