Journal 2017

[caacapital]

$ES_F 8/15/17 I mainly follow price action/volume profile mixed with psychology

$ES_F plan
Hypo 1: was that we would test lower around 2461 ish fail test 2450ish hold and consolidate

Hypo 2: test 2461ish hold test 2471ish hold consolidate

Hypo 3: test 2471ish hold test 2475ish fail test 2470ish consolidate

$M6E_F
wait for lower level

 

[caacapital]

8/17/17

$ES_F plan
Hypo 1: test 2457ish hold test 2463ish fail test higher
Hypo 2: test 2463ish fail test 2457ish consolidate
Hypo 3: test 2463ish fail test 2457ish fail test lower
Hypo 4: test 2457 fail test 2450ish hold consolidate

 

[caacapital]

8/18/17
Economic Data
10am Michigan Consumer Data
10:15am FOMC speaker

Consumer Data may be important?

$ES_F plan
Hypo 1: test 2432ish hold test 2415ish for a bounce to 2425ish hold test 2400 fail test 2385ish
Hypo 2: test 2415ish fail test 2400ish fail test 2385ish hold consolidate
Hypo 3: test 2415ish hold test 2425ish consoldiate
Hypo 4: test 2415ish hold rally

 

[caacapital]

8/21/17
Economic Data
none

$ES_F plan
key areas:
POC:
LVN:
Consolidation zones:
Hypo 1: test 2430 hold test 2420 fail test 2410 fail
Hypo 2: test 2415 hold test 2420 hold test 2410 fail
Hypo 3: test 2415 hold test 2420 fail test 2430 consolidate

 

[caacapital]

Bookmap levels 7:50am

8/21/17
Economic Data
none

$ES_F plan
key areas:
POC:
LVN:
Consolidation zones:
Hypo 1: test 2430 hold test 2420 fail test 2410 fail
Hypo 2: test 2415 hold test 2420 hold test 2410 fail
Hypo 3: test 2415 hold test 2420 fail test 2430 consolidate

 

[caacapital]

8/21/17

Economic Data
nothing important

$ES_F
hypo 1: test 2424 test 2428 fail 2438 hold
hypo 2: test 2421 fail 2415 hold test 2421 hold test 2400 hold
hypo 3: test 2430 fail test 2438 hold consolidate

 

[caacapital]

8/22/17

8/21/17

Economic Data
nothing important

$ES_F
hypo 1: test 2424 test 2428 fail 2438 hold
hypo 2: test 2421 fail 2415 hold test 2421 hold test 2400 hold
hypo 3: test 2430 fail test 2438 hold consolidate

 

[caacapital]

8/23/17

Economic Data
Housing Data 9am
Manufacturing PMI 8:45 am
Service PMI 8:45 am
New Home Sales 10 am
Crude inventory 10:30 am

$ES_F
Hypo 1: test 2446 hold test 2455 hold consolidate
Hypo 2: test 2455 hold test 2453 test 2462 hold consolidate
Hypo 3: test 2446 fail test 2438 hold consolidate

 

[caacapital]

I ended up taking (2) trades today (1) of them was early in the day my bias was long I missed my buy when my 2439 alert went off and was to shy to lift the offers once it went passed 2441. So of course I waited until a sell level to buy. the second trade was just a 2 tick trade I would have ended up losing the 3 ticks I typically risk. Another day where if I would have caught the buy would have gotten a nice return.

8/23/17

Economic Data
Housing Data 9am
Manufacturing PMI 8:45 am
Service PMI 8:45 am
New Home Sales 10 am
Crude inventory 10:30 am

$ES_F
Hypo 1: test 2446 hold test 2455 hold consolidate
Hypo 2: test 2455 hold test 2453 test 2462 hold consolidate
Hypo 3: test 2446 fail test 2438 hold consolidate

 

[caacapital]

8/24/17

Economic Data:
Weekly jobless claims
slight rise expected still very low unemployment
prior | consensus | consensus range
New Claims - Level 232 K 237 K 234 K to 240 K
4-week Moving Average - Level 240.50 K
New Claims - Change -12 K

Existing Home Sales
expecting to rise based on new signed contracts so should be within range basically using lead data
Prior Consensus Consensus Range
Existing Home Sales - Level - SAAR 5.520 M 5.565 M 5.410 M to 5.650 M
Existing Home Sales - M/M Change -1.8 %
Existing Home Sales - Yr/Yr Change 0.7 %


$ES_F

Hypo 1: test 2435 hold 2446 fail test 2455 consolidate
Hypo 2: test 2435 hold consolidate
Hypo 3: test 2435 fail test 2429 fail test 2425 hold consolidate
Hypo 4: test 2435 fail test 2429 fail test 2419 fail crash