Quote from Deringer:
That's not the norm. That's like someone telling me that a UPenn grad hasn't found work in 12 months since graduation. Sure, a few might exist, but that's certainly not the norm.
If an ex-GS banker (associates are called bankers too) is out of work for a year and a half, most likely, it's by choice. I doubt it's because he hasn't received any kind of offers at all. Maybe he is picky and doesn't want to return to work for anything less than $100K. So ex-GS bankers aren't starving or ever going to have to starve. All the lesser jobs are easily available to them. But that's not the case for ex-marketmakers/traders who didn't make it.
In a way, you are right. But I believe that I never indicated that these ex-ibank associates are in danger of starving. It is also natural that during the recession of 2001-2003, wall street ibanking underwent some fairly large layoffs (M&A basically dried up). It would be tough for an tier-one ibanking associate after being laid off to take an associate job with a tier-two even tier-three regional bank, it will be a big turn from the career path. For instance, if an ex-GS ibanking associate (keeping the GS theme here), after being laid off, gets an offer from, say Legg Mason (a real example), it would be a huge step down from working on leading deals to working on weird small-cap follow-up underwritings (they are butt boring). The prized job for tier-one ibanking associates would be private equity, venture capital, or nowadays, activist hedge funds.
I was on the recruiting committee for a tier-one investment bank for new MBA graduates. I was doing analytics, so I was looking for quantitatively inclined. But I was surprised to flip through the final result to find out that the new ibanking associate for 2002 class consists of 13 accepted offers (very very small considering that the '05 class is probably 60-70), 10 from HBS, 1 from Stanford, 1 from Sloan, and 1 from Columbia, that's it, no Wharton, no B-school ranked below them (Tuck, Hass, etc). Of course this is during the bottom of recession in 2002, but who can guarantee that we won't have any economic downturn a couple of years from now?
Just my $0.02, take it however you will.