Johnny Rock's $100,000 Challenge

  • Bias + Basis = Boom/Bust
Paper: Live Trading Starts Next Month! Since I will be trading the micro CL (MCL) contract, divide this number by 10. I also don't know what the liquidity will be, so it may not be viable for my account (slippage compared to commissions and equity).

However, the PRINCIPLES remain the same!

Screenshot_20210625-102554.png
Screenshot_20210625-102633.png
Screenshot_20210625-102642.png
Screenshot_20210625-104204.png
Screenshot_20210625-104311.png
Screenshot_20210625-104404.png
Screenshot_20210625-111050.png
Screenshot_20210625-111101.png

  1. Indicators are like my training wheels
  2. They are simply guides
  3. Volume spike on an expansion bar opposite to the trend followed by a 75% (visual approximation) recovery bar that also had huge volume got my attention
  4. Narrow range bars on light volume in the upper range of the recovery bar held my attention
  5. I took an entry based on that info and signal confirmation
  6. I finally raised my stop
  7. I was waiting to exit on an expansion bar on relatively high(er) volume
  8. The market "seemed" to stall
  9. I closed the position for less than 2x risk
After a track record of live trades, and a growing account, I will make some videos explaining this in detail. For now, this is simply a record of the journey. It also serves as a pictorial journal for my own edification.
 
M.Carlo said:
Hello to all, i am new here and this is my first post. I am learning to do auto trading and have some active automatic strategies that i write. I don't use ready-made things, bot or similar.

So, like title, I'm curious to read your opinions about my simple volatility compression filter indicator. He's nothing special or complicated, but work good.

The Masters of trading teach that to identify a fairly important volatility compression we can take any volatility indicator, and calculate it on 2 values : one in a fast period and one in a slow period. When the value of the fast period reaches 50% of the slow period, yes, we have a very strong volatility compression. I have no doubt about it. This work very good.

Since I'm curious, I asked myself if there wasn't a more "logical or simple" way to filter the volatility. Not that the comparison between an short and long value was not logical, but I asked myself: "it would not be much simpler and more logical to compare an volatility indicator, calculated on X bars, with its same average? " if I do it and divide the value of indicator by its average I get an oscillator whose values move above and below the value 1 :

When the oscillator is below the value 1 it simply means that the volatility is below its average, so we have volatility compression.

When the oscillator is above the value 1 it simply means that the volatility is above its average, so we have volatility expansion.

I test it on some (brekout) strategies, with various indicators but always i have got the best results with BBW. I calculate the BBW on 20 bars and compare it with its average, always at 20 bars. I enter at breakout of a major price level only if my oscillator value is below 1 or 0.9 or 0.8 ....
I am using it on live strategy and it work good.

I am sorry for my not perfect English, i hope you understand me, i also added a photo to show what I'm talking about.

And You, what do you think about it ?

Nice trading to all.
More...
 
  • Fact. Most traders lose money.
  • Fact. Most traders use the same indicators the same way.
  • Theory. What would happen if a trader used the pace of the bid/ask, volatility bands (dual Keltner Channels) and kept an eye on a popular indicator to catch traders leaning the wrong way at key points on the chart?
  • We will find out!!
 
I was just about to go live trading with real money, albeit with a low threshold for a bad drawdown at the beginning.

In the rickshaw man's (rickshaws were the original Uber like side hustle) thread, and someone posted that you should triple your Sim account before going live.

I think I am actually going to take that advice. Although, I need to twerk the numbers so it's realistic. As an example, turn 3k into 9k trading the MES/MCL. Turning a million dollar IBKR play account into three million serves no purpose.
 
johnnyrock said:
I was just about to go live trading with real money, albeit with a low threshold for a bad drawdown at the beginning.

In the rickshaw man's (rickshaws were the original Uber like side hustle) thread, and someone posted that you should triple your Sim account before going live.

I think I am actually going to take that advice. Although, I need to twerk the numbers so it's realistic. As an example, turn 3k into 9k trading the MES/MCL. Turning a million dollar IBKR play account into three million serves no purpose.
More...
  1. My real account is funded
  2. Based off of what someone said in another thread, I am going to wait to go live
  3. I will post daily profit and loss amounts in the paper journal
  4. GOAL: trade 1 MES/MCL contract for every $3000 and wait to go live until I make $24,000 (subject to change due to cockiness and human nature).
  5. That means 3 doubles (contract size).
Assumptions:
  1. $3000 initial balance
  2. Scale up at 6k, 9k, 12k, 15k, 18k, 21k and 24k (3k/contract)
  3. Pilots, race car drivers and truck drivers all use simulators, so there must be value.
  4. The key is to closely approximate real world conditions.
  5. Approximation is all you can do
 
johnnyrock said:
In the rickshaw man's (rickshaws were the original Uber like side hustle) thread, and someone posted that you should triple your Sim account before going live.

I think I am actually going to take that advice. Although, I need to twerk the numbers so it's realistic.
More...

johnnyrock said:
  • GOAL: trade 1 MES/MCL contract for every $3000 and wait to go live until I make $24,000 (subject to change due to cockiness and human nature).
  • That means 3 doubles (contract size).
More...

NO! Increasing size to get the 3x is NOT what the exercise is about.

Below is a post from 2006. THIS is how you get to 3x. Of course tweak numbers to fit your instrument of choice. There are are many more instruments available in 2021 vs 2006. And account minimums can be nano-size (depending on instrument).

I do "Triple X" with almost every NEW method or technique I want to add into my toolbox, using a single micro contract (if available), but I do (and 100% recommend) LIVE, not SIM.

1 contract Johnny until you get 3x. No size increase.

Good trades to ya Johnny.


triple-x.jpg
 
Last edited:
tiddlywinks said:
NO! Increasing size to get the 3x is NOT what the exercise is about.

Below is a post from 2006. THIS is how you get to 3x. Of course tweak numbers to fit your instrument of choice. There are are many more instruments available in 2021 vs 2006. And account minimums can be nano-size (depending on instrument).

I do "Triple X" with almost every NEW method or technique I want to add into my toolbox, using a single micro contract (if available), but I do (and 100% recommend) LIVE, not SIM.

1 contract Johnny until you get 3x. No size increase.

Good trades to ya Johnny.


View attachment 262501
More...
I understand what you were saying. I changed it though. Since I will be trading micro contracts, tripling a 1M paper account doesn't serve me at all. The ratios of my account balance, compared to the risk I am taking, is better served my way.

Then again, I suck at math!
 
johnnyrock said:
I understand what you were saying. I changed it though. Since I will be trading micro contracts, tripling a 1M paper account doesn't serve me at all. The ratios of my account balance, compared to the risk I am taking, is better served my way.

Then again, I suck at math!
More...

just a question... why do so many newbies choose the same "learning" path, and then whine and complain when they land in the bottom trading statistics rungs?

I made this post a few days ago...
https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/if-you-cant-make-money-on-a-simulator.359896/#post-5414632

Good trading to ya Johnny
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top