John Henry--The Next Blow Up ??

i think 87 was flat the best year for Henry's orginal system. you can check it out at iasg.com. he made 35.80% in oct, and around 129% for the year. his system either chose different markets or traded much differently than dennis' crew. a 25% loss was painful last month, but par for the course, in my opinion.
 
Quote from killATwill:

i think 87 was flat the best year for Henry's orginal system. you can check it out at iasg.com. he made 35.80% in oct, and around 129% for the year. his system either chose different markets or traded much differently than dennis' crew. a 25% loss was painful last month, but par for the course, in my opinion.

Check out his financials and metals fund in 87, talk about killing it
 
Quote from wOg:

From Originalturtles.org

"An example of an extraordinary price movement was the day after the October 1987 stock market crash. The U.S. Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by several percentage points overnight to boost the confidence of the stock market and the country. The Turtles were loaded long in interest rate futures: Eurodollars, TBills and Bonds. The losses the following day were enormous. In some cases, 20% to 40% of account equity was lost in a single day. But these losses would have been correspondingly higher without the maximum position limits (of the system)."

As a number of people have already said, if you are a big time trend trader, then these kind of drawdowns come with the territory ...

You mean the Turtles were SHORT interest rates futures and lost! If they were LONG then they would have made a killing. Remember, when rates go down, IR futures go UP. 10yr bond futures(ZN) and eurodollar would go UP. Therefore going long would be beneficial. It's an inverse relationship.

You meant to say the trend followers like Turtles went SHORT.

:D
 
Yes, they were short because, before the stock market crash, the trend in prices was down. The Fed then cut rates sharply overnight following the crash and interest rate futures gapped massively up at the open (there was no overnight trading in interest rate futures at that time, even if there was, it still would have gapped).

The resulting slippage was huge and meant that their profitable positions in these contracts were now being closed at massive losses.

BTW, this can happen to any trader. I often laugh when I hear day traders saying that they day trade because they don't want to be exposed to overnight risks of, say, a nuke going off somewhere. Well if a nuke went off during the trading day, I would be really surprised if you didn't lose a lot more than you wanted to on positions that were negatively affected.
 
It depends who loses the dough. If its a bunch of tier 1 firms, the rules get changed. If its me, I either pay up or get sued.

Simple.
 
Quote from Maverick1:

Then how large is his fund now? Anyone?


niederhoffer's fund is currently ranked( 2005) number 1 worldwide of all funds over 100 million by reputable ranking services.

any other questions?


john galt's axe
 
Quote from johngaltsaxe:

niederhoffer's fund is currently ranked( 2005) number 1 worldwide of all funds over 100 million by reputable ranking services.

any other questions?


john galt's axe


Did'nt neiderhoffer blow himself up couple of times? I understand he's running a new fund capitalised in the 50 to 100 mil range.

But I don't see him anywhere near #1 in the most recent rankings :confused:

http://www.iasg.com/mainframe.asp?
 
Yeah, I've got a few. Hedge funds aren't ranked as #1 but rather according to several criteria, performance, drawdown, volatility, etc. So I'm not sure what you mean when you say its ranked #1. Do you mean by performance? Then by which time period? or is it by another criteria?

Also, where did you get this info? What is his fund called anyway?

Quote from johngaltsaxe:

niederhoffer's fund is currently ranked( 2005) number 1 worldwide .....

any other questions?....
 
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