This is a trading forum. Most of us know how to calculate probabilities.
Let's approximate what are the statistical odds of Epstein committing suicide in MCC, while broking his hyoid bone , with cameras and guards off, as the official story is telling us - calculations will be based on public news and data. Lets assume the only scenarios are suicide and murder without taking into an account taking him out of the jail which will ruin odds for suicide even further.
First of all the stats for breaking hyoid bone from suicide is about 6%.
0.06 on the start.
Number of deaths per 100,000 inmates - 38 (black white and hispanics).
Source https://www.officer.com/command-hq/corrections/article/10227505/suicide-behind-bars
Epstein was white, the stat for whites is 4x the blacks (64 vs 16 per 100k inmates).
0.00064
But wait, MCC is not your average shitty jail. Its the most secure, the best, filled with the most promiment and important folks. Last time suicide occured there 40 years ago. OK Sherlock, we can assume they fck up once every 40yrs.
0.025
Odds of suicide in MCC with hyoid bone breaking: 0.06 x 0.00064 x 0.025 = 0.00000096 or
almost 1/10k of 1% , quite serious dont you think?
What are the psychological chances of his suicide?
The stats are:
On top of that he was a narcissist, thought of himself of nothing but pure genius.
All in all, the chances of suicide due to psychological breakdown, go down to about 10% or 0.1.
And now ladies and gentleman lets dive into some heavy stats.
People are not commiting suicide just like that, out of the blue without any influence of others.
There are reports that approx 50 close co-workers of our beloved powerful couple were dead.
History tells us that people in position of power are able to kill even their own siblings, mothers and fathers. Happened thousands of times in history. Lets modestly say that each dead co-worker who had some dirty inside knowledge ... the odds of his natural/suicide death is 70%. The other 30% is murder. Sensible enough?
Two people dead within the same orbit of people and similar scenario? 0.7 x 0.7 = 0.49 chance they both died naturally. All 50 people, who are not random, who are connected to the powerful marriage died naturally?
0.7 ^ 50 = 0,0000000178 or 0,00000178 of 1%
It does not end here. There are easily fifty powerful other people who wanted him dead. Assuming the chance of each of those people of murdering him while the cameras are off and guards are sleeping are only 30%, we have another 0,00000178 of 1% that they won't be able to murder him.
GRAND TOTAL
ODDS Epstein died by suicide
1/10k of 1% multiplied by
1/100k of 1% multiplied by
1/100k of 1% multiplied by 10%
=?
Let's approximate what are the statistical odds of Epstein committing suicide in MCC, while broking his hyoid bone , with cameras and guards off, as the official story is telling us - calculations will be based on public news and data. Lets assume the only scenarios are suicide and murder without taking into an account taking him out of the jail which will ruin odds for suicide even further.
First of all the stats for breaking hyoid bone from suicide is about 6%.
0.06 on the start.
Number of deaths per 100,000 inmates - 38 (black white and hispanics).
Source https://www.officer.com/command-hq/corrections/article/10227505/suicide-behind-bars
Epstein was white, the stat for whites is 4x the blacks (64 vs 16 per 100k inmates).
0.00064
But wait, MCC is not your average shitty jail. Its the most secure, the best, filled with the most promiment and important folks. Last time suicide occured there 40 years ago. OK Sherlock, we can assume they fck up once every 40yrs.
0.025
Odds of suicide in MCC with hyoid bone breaking: 0.06 x 0.00064 x 0.025 = 0.00000096 or
almost 1/10k of 1% , quite serious dont you think?
What are the psychological chances of his suicide?
The stats are:
- 47% had a history of substance abuse.
- 38% had a history of mental illness.
- 34% had a history of suicidal behavior.
- 28% had a history of medical problems.
On top of that he was a narcissist, thought of himself of nothing but pure genius.
All in all, the chances of suicide due to psychological breakdown, go down to about 10% or 0.1.
And now ladies and gentleman lets dive into some heavy stats.
People are not commiting suicide just like that, out of the blue without any influence of others.
There are reports that approx 50 close co-workers of our beloved powerful couple were dead.
History tells us that people in position of power are able to kill even their own siblings, mothers and fathers. Happened thousands of times in history. Lets modestly say that each dead co-worker who had some dirty inside knowledge ... the odds of his natural/suicide death is 70%. The other 30% is murder. Sensible enough?
Two people dead within the same orbit of people and similar scenario? 0.7 x 0.7 = 0.49 chance they both died naturally. All 50 people, who are not random, who are connected to the powerful marriage died naturally?
0.7 ^ 50 = 0,0000000178 or 0,00000178 of 1%
It does not end here. There are easily fifty powerful other people who wanted him dead. Assuming the chance of each of those people of murdering him while the cameras are off and guards are sleeping are only 30%, we have another 0,00000178 of 1% that they won't be able to murder him.
GRAND TOTAL
ODDS Epstein died by suicide
1/10k of 1% multiplied by
1/100k of 1% multiplied by
1/100k of 1% multiplied by 10%
=?
