jasinhbca's quest for discipline, knowledge & profits

It's usually true break even, occasionally a tick or two loss, occasionally a tick or two gain. I prefer to get out with a limit order at B/E when a trade thesis is invalidated. So for example I enter with-trend on a pullback and price breaks down prior to testing the previous high or low. That's a sign of either a deeper pullback, possible range/chop, or even a reversal. So the breakdown signal tells me to move my profit target limit order to B/E and most of time I can get out that way before my stop loss is hit. With CT trades, though, which tend to have smaller profit targets, I'll actually move my stop loss to B/E after a favorable excursion clears a certain level. I'll also do this if price breaks out because a failed breakout can deteriorate rapidly.

All these decisions are based on statistics. I found quite some time ago that I can't trust thoughts like "that always happens" or "this feels weak" because once I applied statistical analyses to every occurrence of a particular setup (pattern + context + signal/entry method), I found that sometimes things I thought "always" happened only happened, say, 45% of the time!
Like impossible to test "this feels weak", but I always test as how I understand, also how someone else tests maybe quite differently to how I test, plus what data they are using like IB data or CQG. So many laugh and say stats are too much work to generate, but just tells me their amount of dedication to becoming good at the craft of trading.

I use Time stops, finding three bars best for my methods of day trading, either market moves my anticipated direction or if at a loss after three bars, my target become plus one tick. I can always get in again after if to me a clean cut signal says to enter but it is not to re-enter but giving me a new signal to enter. I find markets so much more choppy, it is easier to get the one tick, but that only after much testing first.
 
And I'm back..

I'm going to trade at home the next few days for the first couple hours then head into the office. No trading at the office. I'd like to re-focus on my patience waiting for valid trades. And will try to acknowledge emotions as they come up.

No more watching PnL intraday. It was a good exercise last week but I still have work to do. There was definitely a feeling at times of having to make up prior days loss. The not watching intraday was helpful and a good step in training myself to ignore PnL.
 
During the couple of hours you trade - no forcing.., none..., nada..., никто.., keiner..., aucun

Signal (a trade) is either present.., or not

Especially important when you feel you must "make up"

RN
 
Once again it time to get our head cleared and centered...., charts updated...., and some good rest tonight

Tomorrow.., back to the grindstone we go...., our objective (job) is to follow our routine..., follow each trade plan to fruition

Our job is also - not to introduce randomness

Rest Well Sir

======================

Side note - the half time show is quickly losing my interest

eta = that was crap



RN
 
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Uncharacteristically the entire game was good - except for that last Seattle pass (have a battle tank in the backfield (Lynch)..., 2 yards to go..., and they pass) - unbelievable

Full disclosure - I was rooting for Seattle (since the Cowboys were once again sitting home twiddling their thumbs)


RN
 
Once again it time to get our head cleared and centered...., charts updated...., and some good rest tonight

Tomorrow.., back to the grindstone we go...., our objective (job) is to follow our routine..., follow each trade plan to fruition

Our job is also - not to introduce randomness

Rest Well Sir

======================

Side note - the half time show is quickly losing my interest

eta = that was crap



RN
Uncharacteristically the entire game was good - except for that last Seattle pass (have a battle tank in the backfield (Lynch)..., 2 yards to go..., and they pass) - unbelievable

Full disclosure - I was rooting for Seattle (since the Cowboys were once again sitting home twiddling their thumbs)


RN
seattle offensive coordinator was paid off. First Brady's balls, now this!?! Lynch for the win. No wait, let's pass it.
 
Another new day

We remain the same..., we follow our routine... we do our job

We are not smart enough to second guess / out think the mkt

We don't second guess signals..., or each plan

We observer / monitor ourself

We follow each plan to fruition - We do not inject randomness


Trade well - and to hell with the results


RN
 
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