Quote from jas_in_hbca:
Protractors and tracing paper. This is getting good.
I see that if i want to take these trades there are earlier entry clues: ?
If you do move all the trades few bars to the left - IT translates that you entered LATE in each case and by almost the SAME AMOUNT OF time may be a minute or two. Its just a matter of response time and it will get better in due time. It just tells you that you are on the right path.
1st trade the MA acts as resistance as well as price moving to a prior s/r area. price shows rejection and LH and LL
2nd trade also a few LH bars and price rejection ( close well off the high of the bar) AND at a resistance area.
3rd - same resistance area around 2295. strong thrust bar down through MA
MA is NOT a resistance. Its like a ONE WAY sign on the street - Price may or may not follow it. Price is the ultimate. ONLY ASSERTION to be drawn from MA is that when they are stretched at an angle up or down. that is the direction of the momentum. Steeper the angle, longer you can STAY in the trade. DO NOT USE for ENTRIES. Just managing trades or exits.
You know humans look for structure, HL LH etc.. same thing with the "Great dipper" in the sky its just a mere RANDOM arrangement of stars. I do not focus too much on them.
your 2nd trade was one of the better trade than the other two. Money is IN the anticipation of the MOVE. 1st and 3rd were just a lil too late.
Especially in the 3rd trade ...did you feel you froze after the price started to break faster and harder after failing to make a new high ? and you WAITED looking for a pull back to enter ?
Freezing is due to waht i mentioned earlier - need more experience to get confidence to hit the trigger.
Looking for pullback - is because you want or looking for structure.
Pull back entries work better on LONGS than on shorts, SHORTS are just Inherently uncertain trades.
Part of this is accepting the uncertaintity of entry and to avoid waiting for too much confirmation.
Whataya think ?
You said exactly what i babbled above. Your Professional edge is to deal with Uncertainty and accepting is the first step. Imagine you were on the floor of CME with floor trader and its your 3rd trade. As the High/Top failed you could hear roars or SELL orders but you waited until you could start hearing BUY louder than SELL and then SHORTED??? LARGE UGLY reds or GREENS are your EDGE...thats where the Main action is..momentum...pullbacks are COVERS or Speculator buys!!!
And lastly i think my edge is my patience and focus. i did not have that today.
Thanks !