Mrs Watanabeâs orderly exit
One point of hope in recent weeks, notes Gillian Tett in Fridayâs insight column, is the unwinding of the yen carry trade: marked, orderly and thoroughly polite, really.
Not so long ago there was a fear that the carry trade - the process by which investors borrow yen to invest in higher yielding foreign currencies - might get dangerously out of kilter.
But as Tett points out, the good news is that the carry trade seems to be losing a bit of steam. Whereas there was Y120 to the dollar a few weeks ago, there are now only around Y107. In and out of Japan, investors are losing confidence in the yen carry trade.
After a summer - and autumn - of pain, Japansese domestic investors are curbing their short-yen positions. The stereotypical Japanese retail investor, Mrs Watanabe, has had her fingers burnt. Fewer of those frenzied intra-school run trading sessions, then.
Outside of Japan, the latest IMM data suggests that global investors have 30,000 net long contracts on the yen versus the dollar - a massive swing of 218,000 from the extreme short positions seen earlier this year.
Says Tett:
But what is striking about this unwinding of the carry trade is that it has been relatively smooth, and thus not created a market - or media - panic. Perhaps that is because the yen-dollar swing has not been matched by a similar yen rise against the euro. Or maybe the memory of 1998 has simply left investors better prepared.