It's the Pattern, Stupid!

Ok, thanks for clarifying but could that not raise some confusion with 1-2-3 (shorting the break at 3)?

I think you are looking at Vic's 1-2-3 and the Flag as being one in the same. But they are not.
Will try to explain later.
 
This chart pattern offers a full array of technical price action trades that produce a profit equal to the maximum necessary risk more often than not.


(If you're looking for something that works almost all the time, ditch trading and get a job where other people pay you on regular basis.)

;)

RN
 
I think you are looking at Vic's 1-2-3 and the Flag as being one in the same. But they are not.
Will try to explain later.

It never occurred to me before, but when I was drawing lines for the two of them I realized that a situation could arise where a 1-2-3 that turns around after a false "break" at 3 then starts to look like a flag. I realize the bull flag has nothing to do with trendline breaks. But in the situation where the trendline was drawn as in that last example, i.e. just connecting lows from last (major) up leg:-
index.php

then I could see potential for ambiguity...

Whereas if drawing the trendline by connecting two or more lows on a longer timeframe, the trendline would be less steep and the bull flag typically might not give the trendline break required for 1 in 1-2-3, and there would be less confusion.

I'm not sure if the above makes sense to others and maybe I missed something important in understanding of the differences.
 
It does get pretty dicey, doesn't it? However, it's my understanding that the size of the "flag pole" must be at least twice the size of the "flag", which is essentially a downward channel. These are so old school TA, which I haven't used for eons, it simply behooves me that you folks even talk about it. And I've been in this game for over 20+ years! :)

It never occurred to me before, but when I was drawing lines for the two of them I realized that a situation could arise where a 1-2-3 that turns around after a false "break" at 3 then starts to look like a flag. I realize the bull flag has nothing to do with trendline breaks. But in the situation where the trendline was drawn as in that last example, i.e. just connecting lows from last (major) up leg:-
index.php

then I could see potential for ambiguity...

Whereas if drawing the trendline by connecting two or more lows on a longer timeframe, the trendline would be less steep and the bull flag typically might not give the trendline break required for 1 in 1-2-3, and there would be less confusion.

I'm not sure if the above makes sense to others and maybe I missed something important in understanding of the differences.
 
It does get pretty dicey, doesn't it? However, it's my understanding that the size of the "flag pole" must be at least twice the size of the "flag" :)

Good point. And reassuring to know that I'm not going completely mad (although my wife gave me a look of annoyance when I showed her my flag with a short pole at the weekend :))

Is Vic's 2B pattern considered "old school"? I'm sure a few here have traded that (even I have been caught fading a few occasions and had mixed success)
 
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I wondered if you consider a bull flag to be a "failed" version of Vic's 1-2-3 pattern? Hence the reason for entering at 4 instead of 3, because otherwise you might confuse yourself trying to distinguish in real time between a 1-2-3 (sell at 3) and a bull flag entry at 3 (long).

No, and trying to read the price movement as such would be seeing what's not there.
The flag is a continuation pattern, while Vic's 123 is a reversal, and each has its own requirements to be qualified as such. For example Vic's must have a trend line break, while the flag needn't. In fact the pole part of the flag is often too steep for a trend line to hold or too straight to allow a trend line to be drawn. And while the flag is usually a 4 or 6 wave affair, any number of movements may occur in Vic's between 1 and 2, or following 2 and . before the break of 1. Also, the duration of a flag is normally less than 3 weeks, while I guess you could say that Vic's 123 could be valid even when completed after 3 years as can be seen on Gold's weekly chart.
I could go on and on about the differences between the two, but given that they are in no way related, and as I hate typing, that's it.
 
No, and trying to read the price movement as such would be seeing what's not there.
The flag is a continuation pattern, while Vic's 123 is a reversal, and each has its own requirements to be qualified as such. For example Vic's must have a trend line break, while the flag needn't. In fact the pole part of the flag is often too steep for a trend line to hold or too straight to allow a trend line to be drawn. And while the flag is usually a 4 or 6 wave affair, any number of movements may occur in Vic's between 1 and 2, or following 2 and . before the break of 1. Also, the duration of a flag is normally less than 3 weeks, while I guess you could say that Vic's 123 could be valid even when completed after 3 years as can be seen on Gold's weekly chart.
I could go on and on about the differences between the two, but given that they are in no way related, and as I hate typing, that's it.
Thanks for the explanation.
 
However, it's my understanding that the size of the "flag pole" must be at least twice the size of the "flag",

I have not found that to be a requirement.
These are so old school TA, which I haven't used for eons, it simply behooves me that you folks even talk about it.

The old school is still open, and the flags are still flying. One just flew a few minutes ago in the Nikkei.
 

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