It's over. Historical bull run has come to an end.

You really think this virus will affect markets for a year or two? No way. It's already dying down.

The more important factor that I see is that the Fed is lowering rates and using all their available tools. They won't have anything left for when unemployment rises.
I think the virus may have been a small part of the catalyst but it's not the driver.
The driver is the market does what it does, algo driven.
 
I think the virus may have been a small part of the catalyst but it's not the driver.
The driver is the market does what it does, algo driven.

The market isn't driven by algorithms. It's driven by the sentiment of investors. Especially large institutional investors. They do not make the largest decisions based on algorithms and technical analysis.

It doesn't even make sense to say that qualitative data like news stories is traded by an algorithm.
 
in terms of global trends many people are in my opinon far too optimistic about the future. it's not clear to me what from history would support this idea. the concept of a passive agent looking for statistical corrrelations is for the birds im afraid. we are heading very rapidly towards a very dark place. as usual it will be far worse than the conspircay theorists,science fiction writers etc predict
 
in terms of global trends many people are in my opinon far too optimistic about the future. it's not clear to me what from history would support this idea. the concept of a passive agent looking for statistical corrrelations is for the birds im afraid. we are heading very rapidly towards a very dark place. as usual it will be far worse than the conspircay theorists,science fiction writers etc predict

What about the fact that stocks always go up over time? That's about the only certainty actually.
 
What about the fact that stocks always go up over time? That's about the only certainty actually.

stock don't go up
most stock go banrupt or taken over over time
indices go up as new stronger companies replace weak

although it is not a case in Japan where central bank multi decade zero interest rates zombified most of the economy and it can become case in USA and Europe too as it seems central banks want to defend status quo what ever it takes

yes, they can buy stocks directly but it will just make matters worse for a wide economy
 
stock don't go up
most stock go banrupt or taken over over time
indices go up as new stronger companies replace weak

although it is not a case in Japan where central bank multi decade zero interest rates zombified most of the economy and it can become case in USA and Europe too as it seems central banks want to defend status quo what ever it takes

yes, they can buy stocks directly but it will just make matters worse for a wide economy

Yea stock indices go up over time. That's what I meant.

Nikkei has gone up 2.5x since the Recession. Japan's real GDP also consistently rises.
 

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