It's over. Historical bull run has come to an end.

gaussian said:
So many permabulls high on hopium in this thread. Economics should really be a class in high school. Imagine going through life not understanding how supply and demand works. I guess the bear move in oil is just the market retracing a little before it launches to 65 a barrel? It couldn't be that the oil supply to world's largest consumer has effectively been shutdown?
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lol I am going thru life with unlimited luxury that I'll never be able to consume.. qqq still up 100% since Trump election.... that's how you go thru life.

standing on the sidelines empty handed and only get a few days of mental relief during a correction that's how you go thru life? lol

enjoy it while it last.... earning season around the corner... we are still going to the moon.

BUYING OPPORTUNITY!

PEOPLE KEEP SAYING BUY THE F DIP... THE DIP IS HERE HOW, BUT this DIP is the real bear market?

it's the same shit every time, why do people not learn??
 
I believe streets in China are empty, people don't leave their homes and don't go to work. Imagine it happens somewhere else.
 
dozu888 said:
earning season around the corner... we are still going to the moon.
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Quoting this so when earnings fall I can never take you seriously again. Not that I take you seriously now, but if there was ever a hint - never again.
 
schizo said:
Actually, Padu can be forgiven for his naivete. The guy who constantly advised people to sell their home to buy QQQ should be dragged out and flogged.
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If the virus thing dies out you will see spectacular rallies. And it will soon be a bull market all over. Fundamentals are too good. But..if the virus turns into a serious pandemic and seriously disrupts supply chains...tourism..etc then we got a really really real bad problem. But these things are precisely why I am a short term trader..that is flat at the end of the day. I can play it from both sides short and long. And sleep well at night. Whereas an investor is feeling those butterflies in the gut unless hedged really well. This could turn into one of Talebs black swan events if the corona thing doesn’t end soon. To some degree it already has become a black swan in terms of a historic one day drop. Nobody expected the viral outbreak.
 
Specterx said:
The thing is that the virus effect won't last more than a quarter, two max. At some point the selling will dry up and there won't be anything to trigger new waves of it, rather you'll see companies raising guidance or beating lowered estimates on H1 earnings, a V-shaped recovery in activity, and huge new wave of coordinated worldwide stimulus.

So the downside should be limited from here, but it's also not clear how we can get another big bull trend going with the prospect of a Sanders victory in November. Once you get to May or June the election will start to become a major factor.
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Sanders has zero chance of winning, IMO, so I think that can be set aside. I’ll be shocked if he wins. It is Mr T with a landslide. Unless corona gets unstoppable. Then all bets are off.
 
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