I admit I was premature calling this mostly based on the vote I was seeing in OH which really flipped to Trump later. Shouldn't have said bet the house. That's poor risk management, but I never felt like Trump was going to win. However, I did lose my confidence in my bet the house prediction, because I felt he had a narrow path. Because of my claims yesterday my ego has been knocked down a little, but I'm pretty sure Biden's going to win. Trying to give a percentage for saying that is about as worthless as these polls. I would be surprised if Trump wins though and it's 100% based on where I believe the vote is. I'm not one of those people who says Trump will lose, because he's alienated America, blablabla, I look at data. Obviously some of the data is shitty like these polls. However, I think the dynamics of demographics are much more reliable, because they are actual results, not thrown off my poor sampling.