Its Looking More and More Like its Hillary 2020

TreeFrogTrader said:
The biggest catfight in the dem party will come early, very early and has already started.

It is about the "superdelegates" so-called. Every candidate- especially hillary - knows that the with the superdelegates the system is completely rigged (or "wigged" as Bernie says) from the get-go. The "progressives" know that they are flucked right out of the gate again- before voting even begins- if that system is in place next time around. And that has to be addressed right off and is and it is going to bloody, where the dnc will bargain for some compromise but the ones who are serious about winning will be deadly serious about seeing it removed. Gillibrand and Pocohontas for example will want to see it remain because they are likely to be dnc duds who benefit from it.

Gonna be bloody, and that's a beautiful thing.
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Nothing more enjoyable then, watching the liberals eat each other! This should be good! Liberal progressive socialists like Bernie Sanders will be so pissed but, where will they go? Even if they form a 3rd party, they would not have enough votes to matter! In the meantime, we have a Walkaway faction of the Democrat Party leaving in droves!
 
I will say in my limited observations that there are a ton of people who were not impressed with Trump who are now saying he is doing a good job. I have no doubt that even some anti trump would vote for him now over hillary.

so unless the democrats were to come up with a great candidate its looking very good for Trump's chance's right now.

If the polls are not showing that Trump's chances are improving they are using bullshit samples.

If the rabid don't believe me, observe the warnings from the liberal left which are coming out every once in a while. Internally many of the dems realize just being anti trump is not going to get it done.

Watch how many dems in the close races pull a Romney. They will be against Trump because of his personality but agree that some of his policies are good.
 
jem said:
I will say in my limited observations that there are a ton of people who were not impressed with Trump who are now saying he is doing a good job. I have no doubt that even some anti trump would vote for him now over hillary.

so unless the democrats were to come up with a great candidate its looking very good for Trump's chance's right now.

If the polls are not showing that Trump's chances are improving they are using bullshit samples.

If the rabid don't believe me, observe the warnings from the liberal left which are coming out every once in a while. Internally many of the dems realize just being anti trump is not going to get it done.

Watch how many dems in the close races pull a Romney. They will be against Trump because of his personality but agree that some of his policies are good.
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Yet republicans have done worse in nearly every election since trump became president which comfirms what the polls say about his approval.
 
Tony Stark said:
Yet republicans have done worse in nearly every election since trump became president which comfirms what the polls say about his approval.
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Actually you just need to go read the summaries at 538 to know this is not true statistically.
 
gwb-trading said:
Actually you just need to go read the summaries at 538 to know this is not true statistically.
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https://fivethirtyeight.com/feature...rforming-most-and-least-in-special-elections/

Special election results so far this cycle are among the clearest portentsof a Democratic wave in November. Democrats are beating their usual percentages of the vote not only in special federal elections (i.e., for the U.S. Senate and House), but also in special state legislative elections. All told, after a trio of legislative specials last Tuesday, there have now been 127 special elections in 28 states since President Trump’s inauguration on Jan. 20, 2017. In the 95 of those races to pit at least one Democrat against at least one Republican, Democrats have outperformed the normal partisan lean of their districts by an average of 13.2 percentage points.
 
late last month you said there was zero chance Trump's nominee would be confirmed. So if its zero chance you are giving 100 to one? you still sticking with zero chance?

as far as 18 and 20 its still to far to say how the republicans or Trump will do. I might not even vote for Trump... but as I said his chances are far improved over a few months ago. If polls are not showing that.. their rigged.

destriero said:
You do realize how spectacularly you are going to fall in 2018 and 2020, right? Any wagers?
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