it's going to get worse before it gets better? metals excluding precious metals

Long term for metals


Get worse before get better

-Metals are highly cyclical, owing to their exposure to manufacturing and construction sectors- recession

-Us, Europe and japan are in recession, they contribute , respectively , 10.1 trillion,7.6 ,2.8 while china and india contribute 1.6 and 0.6 trillion respectively us and europe , not likely to come out of recession soon to global trade

- companies have a record suppply of manufactured goods,
oever supply of us housing market

get better
- china's agressive simulus plan, investment into infrastructure

--china ramping out production of cars to growing middle class

-poor financing avliable for the opening of new mines , may take years to open a mine

-china sill is growing at a rate of 6% this quater (correct me if im wrong)

-metal supplies? not sure?


Your opinion?
 
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