'It's Going to Be Inflation Everywhere:' Deputy 'Doom'

Quote from DisciplinedHedg:

There are more sound explanations for the case of deflation than there are for inflation. In either case, I'll believe it when I see it.

the question is; can the government afford deflation?

how can you say they can't do much about it?
 
Quote from T_Geithner:

the question is; can the government afford deflation?

how can you say they can't do much about it?

No, they cannot afford deflation. What can they do about it? Exactly what they're doing right now.
 
Quote from Kassz007:

No, they cannot afford deflation. What can they do about it? Exactly what they're doing right now.

Pile up the debt, and then what?

They can't do it forever, bud.

We're running a 1.5 Trillion deficit, per year.

Can't borrow and spend forever. You do realize US GDP is 75% dependent on consumption/spending, including Government spending, right?
 
Quote from maxpi:

I just sped-read the article but I thought it said that "people owe a lot so there will be inflation"..

If they owe a lot they can't spend as much, sellers have less pricing power and that would be anti-inflationary, no?

no, it's saying most everyone in this country is in debt, including the government, none of them make the level of income necessary to pay it back, either they default on it, or the system prints money to pay it back

if they default on it, the dollar is fucked in one night, if they print money then the dollar will lose value based on the rate of inflation, this way they can hope there won't be a run on the dollar anytime soon

it's obvious that either way the dollar is fucked, the question is which do you prefer; a slow but painful death or a sudden one?
 
Quote from clacy:

In my humble opinion, we might just get a slow asset price reflation, along with low consumer price inflation because it seems to me that Ben Bernake is actually **gasp** doing a pretty good job of walking the fine line with monetary policy.

that's so cute, such a soft landing, specially after such a sudden turn in the economy, going from a developed country to a third world one in a matter of months, from only 5% unemployment to above 10% unemployment. oh, where is this country that such a soft landing takes place after a massive crisis that has not ended yet, oh I know, care bear world, is that where you live?

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No one believes its going to get ugly because they think that it already passed last year when they came in and saved everyone from the GDII. So as of right now everything is happy times once again, they think they saved our economy and the rest of the economies from a global market collapse, but all they really did was "buy" some more time.




Quote from achilles28:

It's gonna get ugly, my man. Really ugly. That's my opinion, but I have yet to see, hear or read any person offer any plausible roadmap to get out of this.

Optimists say Japan or WW2. We're not either of those. Sorry. Did my homework on those, too. I'm not being alarmist, here. Those were two totally different scenarios that won't apply here. And that spells big trouble.

In my estimation, the only thing that can save us is a tech breakthrough the likes of the car, or electricity that can sop up all this debt without impacting living standards. That's it, I'm afraid. So where's this next mind blowing revolution to come from? Green technology?!? Carbon Trading?!! ObamaCare?!?! LOL

It's not funny, but those are individually death blows being touted as "innovation" and the next "growth" industry.

That alone is proof positive Washington has other plans for the American taxpayer. But hey, who the fuck am I anyway.

Everything will be just fine, guys. Don't worry about a thing. Take out that second mortgage, get that HELOC, max out those credit cards ! UI just got extended 99 weeks, baby. Time to party.
 
We should not forget that Roosevelt pushed gold prices up quite dramatically at the depth of the depression in order to induce reflation.




1949 $40.50 1939 $35.00 1929 $20.67
1948 $42.00 1938 $35.00 1928 $20.67
1947 $43.00 1937 $35.00 1927 $20.67
1946 $38.25 1936 $35.00 1926 $20.67
1945 $37.25 1935 $35.00 1925 $20.67
1944 $36.25 1934 $35.00 1924 $20.67
1943 $36.50 1933 $32.32 1923 $20.67
1942 $35.50 1932 $20.67 1922 $20.67
1941 $35.50 1931 $20.67 1921 $20.67
1940 $34.50 1930 $20.67 1920 $20.67
 
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