I love the talk of a "STOCK MARKET BUBBLE"!! YTD the Dow is up what? Like 5-6%? The people calling for an imploding bubble haven't seen any bubbles in their lifes yet. We need parabolic moves in the indexes sucking everybody and everything in before we get bubbles.
Bubble in MA? Probably! But what do I care? I am not buying out steel companies or REITS for $55 a share today when they traded at $15 just a few years ago. These guys have horrible timing doing their buyouts and they will feel the pain in a couple years.
If we see a 20% correction we'd be down 15% on the year. Where'd the institutions be going to move the money for that to happen? With relatively low interest rates, (still) OK earnings, housing not attracting new capital, commodities (gold/silver) not attracting new capital? Many of these guys have to be 100% invested so where are they going to put the money while they rotate between asset classes? Cash for 12 months until the "huge stock market bubble of 5% YTD" cools down? Tell me.
There is no place to hide for capital right now unless its cash and they can't stay in cash all year around.
Yes, we're due for a pullback but what I saw yesterday doesn't cause any panic on my side. Maybe Friday and Monday can change that but I have my doubts. Where's the big volume breakdown in leading stocks? AAPL? RIMM? GS? MA? That's what we'd need. I didn't see it yet.
Bubble in MA? Probably! But what do I care? I am not buying out steel companies or REITS for $55 a share today when they traded at $15 just a few years ago. These guys have horrible timing doing their buyouts and they will feel the pain in a couple years.
If we see a 20% correction we'd be down 15% on the year. Where'd the institutions be going to move the money for that to happen? With relatively low interest rates, (still) OK earnings, housing not attracting new capital, commodities (gold/silver) not attracting new capital? Many of these guys have to be 100% invested so where are they going to put the money while they rotate between asset classes? Cash for 12 months until the "huge stock market bubble of 5% YTD" cools down? Tell me.
There is no place to hide for capital right now unless its cash and they can't stay in cash all year around.
Yes, we're due for a pullback but what I saw yesterday doesn't cause any panic on my side. Maybe Friday and Monday can change that but I have my doubts. Where's the big volume breakdown in leading stocks? AAPL? RIMM? GS? MA? That's what we'd need. I didn't see it yet.