Suggest short May at money straddles to take advantage of the high premiums. I predict FDA will approve, but the share price won't move above 50.
Target price
Approval 50 (50%)
Approval with tough restriction or post approval study 45 (25%)
Request more data but no more new trial 38 or other delay (20%)
More data new trial 22 (5%)
Target price
Approval 50 (50%)
Approval with tough restriction or post approval study 45 (25%)
Request more data but no more new trial 38 or other delay (20%)
More data new trial 22 (5%)
:eek: