Iterative Refinement

Here here is a question on the Monthly ES.

Understood that these were historic moves in the market, as for the ES monthly chart, at the end of the first dominant run down price entered a lateral.

Again, understood the magnitude of this large range price operated in that formed the lateral, but it has had 3 closes outside of the lateral in a dominant up direction.
Do we need to finish a non dominant move, then a final dominant move in this huge retrace that started in March 2009 to complete the sequences- for a completed retrace of the entire down channel (on a monthly bar outlook )?

Any thoughts to this one ?


edit: added to chart annotation
 

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