Iterative Refinement

Intraday, today's IBGS' sequence looks different than June 9th's ... Also, the June 8-9 tape's LTL held, and today's volume was lower on SPY and SPX.
Quote from TIKITRADER:

ES M8 Daily Chart June 12/2008

Posting the M8 contract this evening as it is fully annotated.
Today was rollover day to ESU8 and I will have that chart annotated and posted this weekend.

Daily ES bar formed an IBGS on both the M8 and the U8 contracts, and made a LH and a LL.
Also an increase in the volatility expansion due to the decrease in price.
 
Quote from TIKITRADER:

ES M8 Daily Chart June 12/2008

Posting the M8 contract this evening as it is fully annotated.
Today was rollover day to ESU8 and I will have that chart annotated and posted this weekend.

Daily ES bar formed an IBGS on both the M8 and the U8 contracts, and made a LH and a LL.
Also an increase in the volatility expansion due to the decrease in price.

TIKI!

outstanding chart. does the software mark that up, or are those comments after the fact (I am thinking these are notated).

either way, very nice chart
 
Hi limitdown,

Thank you for the feedback.
A daily ES chart is posted every evening and you can go back to look at previously posted charts if you would like.

All formations and labels are automated, and the was code written by TUMS and can be found in the software thread including code written by Vorzo.

http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=97684&perpage=6&pagenumber=88
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=97684&perpage=6&pagenumber=91
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=97684&perpage=6&pagenumber=90

Channels are hand drawn each night as another daily bar forms.

Feel free to ask any questions or PM if you would like.
 
Quote from ivob:

eurodollar.

Crystal clear.
Ivo

Hi, ivob, nice chart. The increasing red volume on the bar in the blue up channel right before the orange ftt would have shaken me out. What was your thinking process at the time? Was it the context? Did the lateral movement (highlighted yellow )play any role here? Thanks.
 
Okay, I am trying to figure out exactly what went wrong with my analysis on today's 9:55 ES bar. Perhaps others can shed some light on it . All bars times are the close of bar. My thought process was as follows:

The 9:50 bar ES showed DRV in a Pt3 down channel. The 9:50 YM bar showed an IBGS w/ the added bonus of a close near its extreme and greater Volume, therefore no flaw.

Guava enters long at close of 9:50 ES bar.

Then the 9:55 bar opens and moves higher. Great!. The YM also moves higher, but initially on DBV. At this point I thought we were in a retrace on both the ES and YM, but at the close of the 9:55 ES bar, we had a HH w/ Price inside the previous bars range. Consequently, this ain't no retrace, its Lateral Movement.

Coupled with the info on the YM, I reversed short because of the situation described on the ES as well as the new information on the YM (9:56 bar) which was showing a OB w/ IRV.

Only at the close of the YM 9:56 bar did it become clear that this OB bar w/ IRV and Price closing inside the range of the previous bar was actually not a signal for change.

But I had to make a decision at 9:55. What did I do so very wrong there?
 
Quote from guavaman:

...Coupled with the info on the YM, I reversed short because of ... a OB w/ IRV.

Only at the close of the YM 9:56 bar did it become clear that this OB bar w/ IRV and Price closing inside the range of the previous bar was actually not a signal for change.

But I had to make a decision at 9:55. What did I do so very wrong there?
So you are saying at 0956, the situation CHANGED from what you anticipated at 0955?
 
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