Sometimes, the sentiment change we hope to 'see' manifested in a Price bar occurs so close to the 'time' where the bar closes, not enough time remains for the 'signal' to properly develop to a point where the trader 'recognizes' the signal as change. It is at this point where the finer tools come to play because one has reached the limit of accuracy of the coarse and medium level tools.
Again, I do not mean to suggest that one should begin study of Str-Squ and OTR Charts, but I want to point out limitations do exist for only using Coarse and Medium level tools.
Although these limitations express themselves very rarely in any trading day, such events can cause frustration.
Now, the much easier answer is this: You appeared to have conflicting signals. In other words, you had change based on Volume and Volatility, but you had continuation based on What to expect on the BO of a formation. Also, the YM hadn't yet formed a Point Three from the FTT (point One) at 12:26 [close of] bar.
- Spydertrader