Iterative Refinement

Quote from LittleMac:

I was wondering if anyone could take a look at the chart of VISN(daily) and tell me their thoughts or interpretation. The volume today was heavy increasing black but the price barely moved. Was there an inner-bar Guassian shift on the daily bar. Should I be cautious come Monday seeing that I'm still in(long from 15.65).

The highlighted red area of your quote represents the dictionary definition of "Price struggling to move further."

- Spydertrader
 
Quote from romanus:

Any comments are appreciated.

Your Friday (4:22 PM) chart looked pretty good with respect to Gaussians, so I do not have a clear picture what obstacle you hope to overcome with your efforts currently. However, if you are attempting to match Gaussians to your carryover channel, your current gaussians are for a faster fractal, and do match accordingly. They just don't match the slower fractal (carryover Channel), nor do you need to try to make them match (in this example).

- Spydertrader
 
Quote from romanus:
Below snippets 1,2 and 3 are from:
Note the logic applied in constructing the channels above marked with yellow bright arrow.
I tried really hard but failed to see the difference in that logic and the logic I applied constructing this channel:
Bars 17 and 19 are increased black volume.
Appreciate any comments.


I would leave out the CO channel for now...

CO can be used for the general picture. It gives you an overnight perspective.
But everyday is a new day; if you redraw your channels from bar 1, you might see different light.



p.s. 2 bars make a tape... 2 tapes make a channel.
 
Quote from ehorn:
...channels must match volume and gaussians in order to be of any value.


Quote from romanus:
That statement has been driving me nuts for a little while now:)



Understanding the Gaussians shouldn't be so difficult or painful.

If you do not see the gaussian messages in the snippets, don't feel frustrated.
The messages in snippets must be too "complicated".


Let us take one step back.
Let's start from square one.

Do you think you can draw a picture of a text book gaussian?
Give it a try to the best of your knowledge.

Once you have posted the drawing, we can take up the exploration and discussion from there.



p.s. everybody is welcomed to post your drawing and chip in your thoughts.
 
As I was doing my video debrief for 4/21/08, I attempted a bar-by-bar analysis similar to those recently posted by Spydertrader and Avi 8. I'll attach a Word document to this message and then I'll post screenshots of all entries, reversals, and exits.

It's cool to see that a beginner can make significant profits on a day with half the volatility of the average day, a day which forms the inside bar of a Symmetrical Pennant on the daily chart.

To be clear, all of this was done in hindsight, during my video debrief. I didn't take any of these trades in real time.

My mantras:

Look for Reasons to Hold
Hold through Lateral Movement
Act Only at Opens of ES Bars
 

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