I think it's very difficult to make any assumptions about the relationship between Italian debt and the Euro. As to buying straddles, I don't know whether that's a good idea or a bad one, since it will depend on what vol's like. In general, EURUSD vol is pretty high, so your straddles probably aren't gonna come cheap.Quote from dudij:
Martinghoul:
What do you think of a general play on the EURO as a proxy for trading options on Italian debt.
While researching this, I've found the FXE is highly liquid and has tight bid-ask spreads, so good for option trading.
I'd think of opening a long straddle over the next 1-3 months.
What do you think?