Quote from Choad:
Jack-Grob is certainly a funny old bird. He has yet to show that trading with volume information is useful on longer time frames. After years of backtesting, many thousands of real trades, and yet more backtesting, I believe I could prove it is not necessary, but I'll just leave it up to Mr High Velocity...
I wonder how much "high velocity money" translates to real, yearly percentage gains?
Alas, we shall never know.
Regards to all.
C
For long time frames where a person focuses mostly on corporate performance, the way to tie volume into the staging of corporate growth is to use WJO's rally attempt analysis. Its on page 59 of his older version of HTMMIS.
For entries on the intermediate term investing, currently the C&H is very reliable and uses volume.
Years ago in a comparison of C&H indentifications during beta testing of Daily Graphs, it was determined that the TC2000 equations I used for sorting (some aspects of them involve volume), was hitting entries on what turned out to be C&H's 60 some % of the time and my timing of entry preceded the C&H by about 2 weeks. As expected climax runs (left side BO's) were used for IT channel exits.
Change your "alas" comment to something like: "Because I am too lazy to search, I have never taken the time to acquire a collection of the internet postings of the various performances of Grob's stuff whether is be long term. intermediate term, short term, or in any way related to commodities index trading."
The general assessment that people make of what I do is "unbelievable". When they do it themselves as a consequence of their personal efforts, what I do gets around to being believeable for them since they are doing it too. Thats the way it goes.
So this may fill in some of the history you have missed over the years.
About nothing is necessary to make money in trading if you look at the overlap of various trading and investing strategies. Hint: what you see is that there is not a great deal of overlap across the total span of things. The scope and bounds of specific methodologies that make the history books is a good exercise for determining that there is no common necessity that exists. It is a simple proof what what is needed. About nothing is needed so anyone is free to make up thier own concoction.
The trading universe, however, is a heirarchy measured by effectiveness and efficiency of extracting the potential of the market. Your ilk apparently is focused on being right about something or other all the time. Right now you are explaining the possibility of doing less with less. A lower place in the heirarchy.
Anyone can learn to make a lot of money in a short time. Its their choice to not do it. You climb up to where you want to operate and let it roll on out. Iterative refinement takes you further in shorted and shorter time frames.
I enjoy flying for pleasure; gliders are what attract me because of the wide span of experiences they afford me. For going places private, corporate, government or commercial I haven't paid that much attention; it was never something I had to deal with except for taking the rides. I did make it my business early on to know how to get out of trouble and to complete and file flight plans, however.
So I'm a funny old bird to you. Put me on your life list, there aren't many like me around.