A discussion in another thread provoked to me to think about whether all use of charts is TA. Lets take the example attached. The chart shows a H1 candlestick chart of crude oil.
My hypothesis is that price will very likely at some point return to the blue line. The reason for this is not based on a historical pattern or indicators etc. My reasoning is that during the red bar traders large enough to stop and reverse price got short looking for lower prices. As you can see from the price action since the red bar oil initially went lower and then rallied to put those that didn't bank underwater. I believe that the traders who can move price will likely now push the price down to the blue line to allow them to buy and net out the position. In the process they will likely bank some profit from selling higher up.
Is this sort of analysis TA?
My hypothesis is that price will very likely at some point return to the blue line. The reason for this is not based on a historical pattern or indicators etc. My reasoning is that during the red bar traders large enough to stop and reverse price got short looking for lower prices. As you can see from the price action since the red bar oil initially went lower and then rallied to put those that didn't bank underwater. I believe that the traders who can move price will likely now push the price down to the blue line to allow them to buy and net out the position. In the process they will likely bank some profit from selling higher up.
Is this sort of analysis TA?
