So the lesson is...?
follow your trades and spread my run bad this year to others.

So the lesson is...?

follow your trades and spread my run bad this year to others.![]()
No. The lesson is don't wing it.
Whatever, it wasn't a wing. I would do it again. I'd be right there as well as more profitable more often on average. Just seems like I'm going through a bad streak lately.
no, it works out the same or better if market ends between 12975 and 13687.50. Above and below it ends worse. Correcting last post there is a 85% chance at some point index will be 0.33% lower and a 75% chance it will be down 1% at some point tomorrow (during regular trading hours).
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My stats say there is a 75% chance that ES touches 4180 at some point tomorrow. I guess fortunately there are no options expiring within 2 days, otherwise would’ve done the same here.
ps sold then at 4220
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ok, not sure how you can get that from one trade but ok. Here is the next trade. My stats say there is a 75% chance that ES touches 4180 at some point tomorrow. I guess fortunately there are no options expiring within 2 days, otherwise would’ve done the same here.
ps sold then at 4220
Indeed, signals and trade execution are two different things. It might be that your signals are great, but the trade execution on this particular trade was poor.
If I were you, I would have taken profit on the puts when NQ put in the reversal, because that's what you're supposed to do with covered options plays.
Honestly, never expected market to go down as much as it did that day. That, I agree was a stupid mistake on my part for not liquidating puts the second I unloaded the futures trade.
However, I did manage to squeeze out 75 points (3x25) from the puts when I sold 3 futures at 13350 near the end of day - figured I was protected both ways for the remaining half hour of trading.