TA is free. just like Tips.
TA is so scientific, that is why attracts so many suckers.
the market is practical. just like everyone eats, some eat meat lot, some not, but still thin and healthy.while some eat meat lot, but they are fat and unhealthy.
from this observation, you can not conclude anything.
TA is the same thing. some claim TA is very useful, some just said oh holy crap.
to me, TA is a good tool to describe after-fact market,but it is a horrible telescope to predict,find out the true truth behind.
like today SPY gapped down and free fall, I have fundemental reasons to short the opening.
U.S. economy pickup is an illusion. No QE, no pickup. the critical reason is U.S. economy growth is at the level which can not be expanded any more. just like a normal person, when he is three month old, he drinks three cups of milk, when he is three years old, he may drink 5 cups ofmilk, then after that, no matter how many milks he drink, his growth speed slows sharply, until some point, what he eats, all pooped out, a balance. if he eats more than he poop out, he will get sick, like obseidty, dibetics...
the FED is doing a very stupid thing, QE ... QE ... that will not help,just an illusion (make you feel good). ask an adult to eat more, does not help him become healthy.
Quote from pinkman:
Every trader i've ever known who can prove (either with lots of realtime calls or statements with other proof) claims to not us TA.
In fact, they claim to not use price charts at all.
They never reveal how they do it, but they do rule out every single approach that I can think of.
(order book, fundamental analysis, DOM/time+sales trading, charts, price action trading, statistics etc etc)
Here are a few snippets from one such trader:
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If the vast majority advocate charts and/or indicators and/or TA and 80-90% lose in the markets, wouldn't this outcome lead a rational person to suspect that something was not right? Aiming to be better than the vast majority at employing an overwhelmingly unsuccessful approach seems to me to be a strange ambition.
Wouldn't it be smarter to feed of the 80-90% rather than compete with them for some dubious outcome.
the past has no relevance as in order to be successful the here and now is what matters, not the past.
No matter what behavior is reflected in the chart, nobody, except someone manipulating that market, can know with any semblance of certainty whether the next tick will be up or down and therefore a trend continuation or the beginning of a reversal.
The surest method will place you next to the herd when they are right and on the other side of their trades when they are wrong! If you ever wonder who is on the other side of your trades when you are wrong I can assure you that it is probably me or someone just like me and when you are right we will have usually entered well before you
But rather that you should be concentrating on using the chartists weaknesses to your advantage. How can you trade against the herd if you are running with them?
the market virtually always telegraphs it's intentions, but this vital information cannot be found with traditional price charts or traditional indicators
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If these comments made by one of the afformentioned traders resonate with anyone, i'd be eternally grateful if someone was to put a little more 'meat on the bone' for me.
What could he possibly be alluding too?
It sounds like he's 'charting something'...but it has nothing to do with price??