Quote from StarDust9182:
I was trading in 1990 and there was no talk of QE then. I was trading in 2001 and the big talk from the FED was avoiding the mistakes that Japan made to prevent deflation from taking hold.
Please back your statement up with a quote from the FED publically acknowledging they want to do the same policies as Japan as you say above.
I like how you think.Quote from StarDust9182:
Readers may wish to Google "richard koo on quantitative easing" for a laugh.
2011 - Richard Koo on why quantative easing has failed - http://www.businessinsider.com/richard-koo-quantitative-easing-2011-4?op=1
So we are to believe this fellow invented the term 10 years before the US, didn't use it for 10 years in Japan, promoted the plan to the FED, adopted the term after the FED picked it up, re-wrote everything to claim that Japan had been using it before the FED, now claims it has failed because those darn private sector folks are paying down their debt (rather than going bankrupt?) Those BUMS!
With all due respect, Japan is in no shape to tell the US how to manage a deflationary crisis!
Game Set Match
I wanted to mention because it is relevant to the topic as debt is money and debt to world GDP is important to our discussion.
it's not that funny. In academia, mathmaticians look at economists the same way you and I look at psychologists.Quote from StarDust9182:
Some more fiction from economists:
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-10-19/why-economist-qe-refuses-work
(This is, why to an economist, QE refuses to work)
If all the economists in the world were laid end to end, they still wouldn't reach a conclusion.
Quote from oldtime:
it's not that funny. In academia, mathmaticians look at economists the same way you and I look at psychologists.
Neither profession is considered a science since they both deal with human behavior.
When they have their annual convention, all the physicists, mathmaticians and even biologists get to sit at the big table. They make the psychologists and economists sit at the little table over in the corner.
no kidding, there are people persons and thing peopleQuote from Swan Noir:
Interesting that the most valued people in almost any large organization (and many smaller ones) are those that have top flight negotiating skills. The top of the heap were those that are tasked with negotiating arms reduction treaties involving nuclear states. The numbers guys are frequently important but sometimes as staff not principals.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rose_Gottemoeller
Again, those in the hard sciences mistake precise calculations for skill. It is dealing with what is imprecise that requires skill of the highest order. The best poker player I ever met said to me once: "Once you get to no-limit all the numbers become secondary."
Quote from oldtime:
no kidding, there are people persons and thing people
that's why these kids who are thing people can't figure out why no one will invest money with them to trade
in real jobs, usually the smartest guy can't figure out why he is not the manager
Quote from oldtime:
morgan, you crack me up. Nothing happens until somebody can sell it. You can't have the "Thinking Party" and the "Selling Party".
They both must compromise to have the "Peoples Party"