"PIMCO's record is public. They're the number#1 fund in the world by AUM and long-term performance, other than sovereign wealth funds (China).
You're thinking buy and hold till maturity. PIMCO trades bond values like a stock. In and out. Profit off the difference, and sometimes collect until maturity.
US Treasuries are unlikely to collapse. The FED purchases 75% of new issuances. It's an artificial market. Imagine where yields would be without the PPT (read: FED) buying every treasury in sight. THere's zero market for debt at these prices. And so goes the US (and global economy) - into that great depression that's so feared. No, short bonds isn't the play. Bernacke owns that market. The play is long commodities, real estate and some stocks versus the USD. Europe is going to shit and it's the same game. We're not playing one pair against the other. We're playing all fiat shit money against commodities, gold and real estate. Printing or a deflationary nuclear bomb is the only way out. BubbleBen wrote his thesis on preventing a second great depression. He's an avowed Keynesian. A money printer. All the central bankers of the world are!! Tarp 1 and 2, Maiden Lane 1, 2,3, QE 1, 2, 3. What does the writing on the wall say? All Gross said is we're fucked, and we are. There isn't much time left. Maybe a few years. Politically, Washington handed itself martial law powers. Think about it. They know whats coming down the pipeline. US Army Manuals were leaked that detail operational procedure for internment camps of US citizens, in America!!!! The NDAA authorizes indefinite military imprisonment of US citizens with no lawyer or trial. The Federal Appeals Court upheld it!! 50% of Americans are on some type of Government handout. 45 million on foodstamps. What happens when that SS cheque, medicare stipend, food voucher and housing credit only goes half as far? What happens when most of the labor force see their purchasing power cut by 30 or 40%, in a month? What happens to consumption? Output? GDP? Do the math. This isn't a bump in the road. This is Argentina. First world to Second world in a few months. With a shitload of gun-toting mutherfuckers tripping cause they can't make their grocery bill with a hungry, scared family at home. And they know they've been fucked. Anyhow. GOOD LUCK."
the above is courtesy of achilles28
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=3646864#post3646864