Nothing to be alarmed about yet. A good bet would probably be 50% tracement from mount Everest (1570) to the devils bottom (666), or if you don't like that, how about 50% retracement of the meteoric rise from the 2009, devil's bottom to the Gee Whiz 1370 high. That one would be about 1020. And iv'e noticed a nice little hangout at ~1200 not far from where we ended the day. Pick the landing spot you like best, I guess.
It's summer, its real hot, --especially in that hell whole called Dallas -- there's some big hurricanes expected to visit, and there has been lots of bad news, including that, speaking of "Rome", the Pope may not be who he says he is. The dollar seems to be strengthening some, on the heels of the morons in Washington taking a baby step toward getting their shit together. (Actually, I think morons are supposed to be slightly less retarded than imbeciles, so I suppose it is technically more correct to refer to House members as imbeciles and Senators as morons.)
When you have a market driven almost entirely by inflation you should expect it to be sensitive to the dollar, and as we all know, the emotional factor assures that the big moves will be overdone. If the dollar goes up the market will go down. That's as it should be. And of course it will go down an irrational amount, and that's as it should be too!
There was still enough MOC sell orders today to more than mop up buy orders of the covering shorts. That tells me that the selling is not over and we did not yet have enough willing big buyers coming in on the close to push the market up and create a lovely, and long, bottom tail on the daily candle. Until I see that on some nice volume, I think we don't go up. The OPM jockeys have to do something with all that money, and eventually they're gonna buy and start pushing the market up again, only to repeat ad infinitum for, oh maybe the next twenty years.
I am so damn thankful I can trade a little, buying and holding stocks really sucks bad.
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"It's not that we don't know the solutions to our problems, we do! It's that we are not willing to act, because if we do someone we depend on will make less money." --Joseph Henry Vogel