Is the larger time frame overrated?

Quote from tlopez51:

Ah! But we need morons to profit from. Only thing though is figuring out where the morons are the most totally wrong. 1820, 25, 30 . . . 1900 . . .

Hey, I hear it everyday. One day there will be the mother of all pull backs. There will be hell to pay . . . on and on and on. But the ES keeps climbing. So when and at what level so I too can be there waiting?
This is simulated world, but in real-time. So you are on the long side, right? I have my opinion where the market would not go on long side, but I am not revealing it. My backer would have known about it, and would have asked me to simulate things in front of his opposition. The high so far is 1821.75, a quarter point from second simulated contract.
 
Generally speaking, big banks do not day-trade the Forex or the stock index or the precious metals market (gold, silver), their trades are rather medium to long term oriented.

In any case, they are the real insiders...
 
Quote from xelite777:

No problem, stand by, I am going to fax you my bank account balance right away.

Oh, here it is... :D

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Hi David
 
Quote from tradingjournals:

This is simulated world, but in real-time. So you are on the long side, right? I have my opinion where the market would not go on long side, but I am not revealing it. My backer would have known about it, and would have asked me to simulate things in front of his opposition. The high so far is 1821.75, a quarter point from second simulated contract.

I don't fight the trend up or down. I just follow until proven I'm on the wrong side and no longer works. So yes I will choose long until proven wrong. It's a 50/50 flip of a coin. Heads says up. Tails down. Heads prevails. For now.
 
Since it is getting closer to 2 hours, and only one fish out of planned 10 would have been done, the simulated backer might ask to take what is available for the second simulated contract. Simulated changes: third simulated contract is moved up to 25.5, and second simulated contract would be done at current simulated 20.75, instead of simulated 22. Minus simulated 2.
 
Quote from tradingjournals:


One of the weird things in this forum is that people seem to genuinely think they take money from big money. [/B]

Oh but they do, 33% of the time, retail traders (the small fish or "the aunts", as Asian traders call them) do make money from the big, smart money.

You see, the big dogs have to give them a bone once in a while, so they (the big dogs) can keep making money in the long run.

dog-eating-bone.jpg


It's like those scratch tickets, the Lottery people have to pay us just enough money from time to time so we can keep playing while they collect about 50% of our wager money, in the long run....

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Quote from tradingjournals:

It is sunday evening, so no big money. The buyers are therefore small money. ES is at 1820. The guy who bought at 1820 is in my view a moron who would make money only from another moron. Since the chain of morons is finite, at least one of them would hold the bag. If he bought to close, we already know he has lost because 1820 is a new high.

i bought them at 1819.25 last night. I must therefore be a moron (they are at 1822.5 now btw)

you're on ignore.
 
Quote from xelite777:

Take the same exact profitable trading system, apply it to 15 min chart and let's say, the daily or the weekly charts.

At the end you will end up with much more money buying/selling on the 15 min charts.

Believe it... or not.

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Disagree. The intraday signals are of inferior quality compare to daily or weekly. Also the cost compared to profit, as mentioned before, is a problem.
 
Quote from Visaria:

Disagree. The intraday signals are of inferior quality compare to daily or weekly. Also the cost compared to profit, as mentioned before, is a problem.

That is not true.

Take 5000 bars on the 1min chart and 5000 in the daily chart and compare.

You will be surprised at the results.
 
Quote from Visaria:

The intraday signals are of inferior quality compare to daily or weekly.


Not to be argumentative.., or a dick

But any signal on a daily or weekly… even a monthly/ quarterly/ yearly/ longer TF (bar interval actually)

Has to be on smaller (intraday) TFs (bar intervals) – no matter the smaller TF(s) one picks


It just does

RN
 
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