Is the crypto winter over?

One of my posts you responded to was actually a rhetorical question, "how do tradfi people trade a crypto asset like Pepe that is very volatile"?

The way I do it and others may have their methods is to treat it like an asymmetric risk/reward investment, all or nothing, or more often than not, a big loss or a big return

When I first got to Pepe, it was about 3 weeks ago and I posted here, it crashed the next day, went down about 50%. and I tripled my investment from to about $7k (did not enter the yield farm until a week later, so I'll separate that as a position, that yield farm actually returned all risk capital on Pepe plus a little bit of profits)

$7k went to $42k, then it pulled back to $20-something k, then it went to $50k, I posted here, then it went to $72k within 2 hours, then that night I closed the yield farm but the $7k has gone up to over $130k by the morning and I cashed out, I posted here a little bit

$100k down to $50k right now. But if you look at paragraphs above, I am incapable of timing tops and re-entering when it crashes, so as Jesse Livermore has said... It was always my sitting that made the most money

So I sit on my Pepe position for now...

There is good news, I cashed out about $5k profits on Mong position earlier today... the bad news was that it was about $17k profits after the first day I had it :D

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Buy and hold is a hit and miss method, sometimes it works...
B&H is easier to do but brings average returns, if you 'work' something, this takes more effort and skill and brings better rewards.
There is more depleted emotion living through large drawdowns, horrible feeeling of large amounts of money disappearing.
The mistake many traders make (not talking about you) is they have regrets within trading.
Regret they didn't exit, regret they did exit, regret they bought, regret they didn't buy.
It's the regret they have that they exited and price goes against them which is the killer for them, hence buy and hold.
 
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Buy and hold is a hit and miss method, sometimes it works...
B&H is easier to do but brings average returns, if you 'work' something, this takes more effort and skill and brings better rewards.
There is more depleted emotion living through large drawdowns, horrible feeeling of large amounts of money disappearing.
The mistake many traders make (not talking about you) is they have regrets within trading.
Regret they didn't exit, regret they did exit, regret they bought, regret they didn't buy.
It's the regret they have that they exited and price goes against them which is the killer for them, hence buy and hold.

Position sizing. My high-risk trades (i.e. Perp futures, meme coins) are limited to no more than $15k risk capital

Drawdowns or lost profits? I'm used to it, I have had way too many to count in the past 10 years. I know you said you were not talking about me, but I can relate to the psychological effects and how to deal with them

And yet many ET who missed out on the greatest opportunity for wealth creation that is Bitcoin and cryptos, from $0 prices or near $0 on many coins, btc, eth, doge, etc will say we got lucky

They don't have the emotional strength to hold on through drawdowns or sudden big upmoves

On Pepe, many people sold early, it's all over Twitter, the woulda coulda shoulda have had 6 figures or 7 figures if they just held

Same with early Bitcoin buyers or miners... Same with early Ethereum ICO participants who sold too early, $500 to over $3.5M currently
 
I trade a truckload of penny stocks, currently holding maybe 30....dunno, I got around 60 positions going atm, cant be bothered counting them all.
But I do know penny stocks get hammered severely and the majority atm underwater.
Trading is a funny game, just one penny stock major winner can erase all those losses and has done for me.
However, these days I wont allow something to runaway losing anymore.
 
I trade a truckload of penny stocks, currently holding maybe 30....dunno, I got around 60 positions going atm, cant be bothered counting them all.
But I do know penny stocks get hammered severely and the majority atm underwater.
Trading is a funny game, just one penny stock major winner can erase all those losses and has done for me.
However, these days I wont allow something to runaway losing anymore.

Penny stocks don't trade 24/7/365 and liquidity might not be so good, so....

Not sure if you'll be interested in crypto meme coins instead, lol. While it's meme szn, the volatility for traders is great

I posted on my crypto macro thread that I got into Ben, the info actually hit my Twitter timeline a few days ago but I still missed the presale, anyway....

I'm in a Ben liquidity pool so it's half as volatile as the Ben token, but from my observation, in the 3 hours that I owned Ben, the token has gone down 20% and up over 10% from my entry

Volatile af

Ben is up over 4000% within 2 days of release, currently, $1k presale investment would be $40k right now

https://dexscreener.com/ethereum/0xdce93ed9ae7c53143e19cf799d156b72d1cc2777

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In regard to the penny-stocks... as my portfolio is primarily in LONG positions & meant to hold positions for a long time, I do avoid penny-stonks for a good reason.

They are always far over-priced. Trying to get in at a good discount to NAV is like winning a lottery. The reason is, every ape likes to pile in on penny-stonks because it feels to them a cheap-way to get in and hope to lit a lottery.

It doesn't work that way. They are shit stonks at the bottom of the barrel for a reason.

When this was pointed out to Eugene Fama as to disprove his flawed 'Efficient Market Theory'... of course the answer was... EMT doesn't apply to penny-stonks. They are a 'special' exception. lol


I suppose if you want to be a youtube guru and run a scam course... trading low-float pennies can do wonders when you have a team of followers behind you. Something that slowly... others are only lately catching onto.
 
6.5 hours into the Ben crypto meme... $2300 invested into the Ben tokens worth over $4k now and the yield farm $3k worth over $4k now

There is no leverage on this

I did not get in on the presale... A whale turned $50k presale to $2M cashed out right after release I got in after the release and I think Ben can hit $200M market cap which is another 800% upmove from here.... NFA


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6.5 hours into the Ben crypto meme... $2300 invested into the Ben tokens worth over $4k now and the yield farm $3k worth over $4k now

It looks like Ben has tripled in price since my entry. I will add another $3500 to the token position (left image, stored in in the wallet)

There is no leverage on this position

Will leave the yield farm alone, it's producing a nice yield over 10% in less than 24 hours from initial risk capital of $3,000, but this yield is misleading as the rewards are in Ben and Eth tokens, it benefits from the rise in price of Ben tokens

NFA

On the difficulty to visualize price since there are 420.69 Trillion tokens (lol)... the price works through elimination of leading zer0's after the decimal point

Ben killed a zer0 last night so there are now 6 leading zer0 instead of 7, similar to a $500 stock going to $1,500 (from 3 digits to 4 digits)

I just need Ben to kill 5 more zer0's then I'll be a multi-billionaire :rolleyes:


upload_2023-5-9_10-26-14.png
 
It looks like Ben has tripled in price since my entry. I will add another $3500 to the token position (left image, stored in in the wallet)

Closing the position here, good profit$, and after taking the picture, the price of Ben moved up 10-15% so got additional $ on the swap

Ben team are on a war path with Pepe community, fud storm back and forth

I think Ben will continue to go up but not getting good vibes from the team Ben and the smart contract is not renounced which means Ben can rugpull dump 90% of the tokens and crash the price to $0

To be fair to the Ben project, the people involved are all doxxed so rugpull is unlikely, so they say...

Pepe smart contract is renounced, but devs were and are anon, rugpull is not possible, though

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