Quote from AAAintheBeltway:
That's not what the state by state polls are showing. People seem to forget that it is a matter of winning states. If you lose a state by one vote or 10 million, it doesn't matter. All McCain has to do is hold onto the states Bush won.
While there are similarities between McCain and Dole, there are also important differences. Dole ran against a popular incumbent president, and he ran a very lackadasical campaign. Dole was a favorite of the Washington press corps, like McCain, but his midwestern humor didn't play well on a national stage. He was also the consummate Washington insider, while McCain has crafted an image as a maverick and outsider.
I don't particularly like McCain, but I have to respect the fact that voters seem comfortable with him. I have to think the average voter in the general will see Ovama as a huge gamble, one that might not be prudent to take given the dangerous international situation.