Quote from Dominic:
I actually started this thread asking about others P&L (Is 100K possible with $100K BP per year) and have been beat down over a $65K loss on one stock that I included in the post. So many have been quick to judge and point the finger without knowing all the facts on the trade, even though that wasn't even the main question, just a remark.
I had 3K of PGTV and was holding overnight. News came out pre market (40 per share) and the stock dropped close to 20 points in 1 day. Only 3.5 million shares and 60% short float. Needless to say I, among many other longs got taken too the cleaners.
hmmm, now that shines a different light on the situation. I agree that everyone makes losses from time to time. You cannot be right all the time. But if you want to make money, you'ld better be sure that you put everything you can into your favour before entering a trade. So let's have a closer look at your "disaster" trade. It happened on 5th Feb 2004. Right? If I look at the daily chart, the stock is heading down already for a couple of days, and around 42. Volume is going up, strengthening the down trend. The naz is down (although close to a support). The only little support for the stock is at 40. The next support is waaayyyy down. a rebound on 40 could have lifted it up to 50. But a break through the 40 would have been a disaster anyway. (Look at the bar of 15 Jan). The ATR is around 3. Also the bar at 8/11/3 could have given you a clue where this stock would be heading after 40. So my question is: why did you put such a big lump of your capital on that trade? What made you buy it? So, had I been asked that day, I would have said ; you are taking about 4-5$ risk per share, with a considerable high probability of the stock going down. 3K shares. So you were putting around 15k at risk. 15% of your capital. That is already waaaayyyyy too much.
Had I been asked that day what trade to take on that stock, considering it's direction, the direction of the naz, it's support lines, the MACD and Slow Stoch, I would have taken a short
at 42 (the close), stop 44, target 37. I never put more than 2% of my capital at risk. IF capital was 100k, risk to take 2k. Divided by 2$ risk, makes 1000 shares to short.
To summarize, this trade had already a high probability of being a looser when you entered it. The overnight news turned it from a bad trade in a disaster trade.
So to come back to your original question: can you make 100k with 100k. Yes, even 200, or 300. How? By selecting GOOD trades. I realize that this may sound like a non-statement , but I hope I made it clear from the above that this wasn't one. And as long as you are not able to recognize the (potential) good trades from the bad ones, you're doomed in this bussiness. Now there are lots of good books on identifying good trading patterns, there is trading software that can help you, sites that give signals. But it takes time, time, work, work. I am a full time trader, and when I say full-time , it's about 12-14 hours a day (including accounting, studying, backtesting etc.).
Oh, and BTW, I ONLY do daytrading, just to avoid these overnight "surprises". But that is another story.
TFD