To a degree, trading is about predicting the future....
But not the future as you've described.
trading is about predicting the future....I disagree.
trading is about being profitable. You can predict as much as you want and be unprofitable

To a degree, trading is about predicting the future....
But not the future as you've described.

trading is about predicting the future....I disagree.
trading is about being profitable. You can predict as much as you want and be unprofitable![]()
trading is about predicting the future....I disagree.
trading is about being profitable. You can predict as much as you want and be unprofitable![]()
Sounds like you're an investor, not a trader. Or perhaps your account is too small to understand liquidity constraints.
A trader will have a situation where he has just a few minutes to enter a position or the price will move away and the trade should be abandoned as the price is unfavorable. Have you tried putting on a $50k position on a stock that does $5-10m a day? Clearly not because showing such size for an immediate fill will dramatically alter the price.
Perhaps you imagine everyone here trades ES/SPY or EURUSD in which case you'd be assuming too much.
...Since trading is a zero sum game (before cost), counterfactual to this claim is that there are traders are taking consistent losses from trading.
I predict you will make another post about predicting the future, and I shall bet that VVG will reply to you about it.I disagree with your disagreement about your understanding and the use of the word "predict".
I disagree with your disagreement about your understanding and the use of the word "predict".
trading is about predicting the future....I disagree.
trading is about being profitable. You can predict as much as you want and be unprofitable![]()
My reply that you refer to was to DaveV's suggestion that a successful strategy used by a private retails trader would become the prevalent model in the market, and that other players would be able then to play against it as trader behaviour became so predictable.
Assuming he was talking about the entire market environment, his point is ludicrous. As for the liquidity constraints in the markets you trade in, I've already agreed with you on that, remember?