Is it possible to increase the mathematical expectation?

FreeGoldRush said:
1) Please define "your model". I've designed many. Most don't work good enough to trade with. But a few do. And those run live every day the market is open.

2) How are you defining "are fairly efficient"? The answer is complex. If you know nothing about the underlying data then you might make that assumption. But ultimately I suspect your answer is subjective and you have no process to measure this. Which is the whole point. Figuring out how to measure that one thing leads to a profitable trading model.
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https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting...esnt-close-or-limit-accounts/N6RJX78P6NRD6ZYK
 
vincentnyc said:
Did you check my free sports bets for tonight baseball and football game yet?
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I'm a trader, not a gambler.

So no.

Also I am a sports fan, which gambling destroys. One no longer has an interest in a team but the outcome, regardless of how it affects the team.

One last sports related aspect, I don't do fantasy either.

Reality rocks.
 
SunTrader said:
I'm a trader, not a gambler.

So no.

Also I am a sports fan, which gambling destroys. One no longer has an interest in a team but the outcome, regardless of how it affects the team.

One last sports related aspect, I don't do fantasy either.

Reality rocks.
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one thinks sport betting is gambling because they don't know any better. just like if you ask a common person walking down the street if they think stonk trading is gambling and most will say it is gambling. but both you and i know better. it is not gambling. so just like sports betting...it is all in the math...
 
vincentnyc said:
one thinks sport betting is gambling because they don't know any better. just like if you ask a common person walking down the street if they think stonk trading is gambling and most will say it is gambling. but both you and i know better. it is not gambling. so just like sports betting...it is all in the math...
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Trading is gambling in one sense...

If you bet long and chairman Powell opens his mouth and says "hike", that is a guarantee for a losing day for the bulls. When a QB on a team like the Broncos says "hike", that is no guarantee either way. Could be up or down. Depends on the defense. :-)
 
Overnight said:
Trading is gambling in one sense...

If you bet long and chairman Powell opens his mouth and says "hike", that is a guarantee for a losing day for the bulls. When a QB on a team like the Broncos says "hike", that is no guarantee either way. Could be up or down. Depends on the defense. :)
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Not if you do arbitrage betting….if you don’t what that is…it is in youtube video that i have posted in this thread. And yes it works because i have use that strategy in the stonk market and sports betting. Unlike sports betting, you can’t get banned in the stonk market if you make a lot of money (unless it is like inside trading etc.).
 
vincentnyc said:
one thinks sport betting is gambling because they don't know any better. just like if you ask a common person walking down the street if they think stonk trading is gambling and most will say it is gambling. but both you and i know better. it is not gambling. so just like sports betting...it is all in the math...
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Has nothing to do with trading. Period. I know better. You obviously don't.

Yes there are professional sports bettors casino card counters etc. Let me know when you come across one.
 
SunTrader said:
Has nothing to do with trading. Period. I know better. You obviously don't.

Yes there are professional sports bettors casino card counters etc. Let me know when you come across one.
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Let me look at stats from my sports betting journal right now. I started my sports betting this year on 1/30/22. I have made 149 sport bets so far…and I’m green ytd. You looking at one right now.
 
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