I forgot last and most important one - exploited market inefficiencies.Quote from Bob111:
i agree with your definition of edge and that technical indicators are not. so-saying that you can give same set of rules to a 1000 traders and result will vary wildly is true,but doesn't make sense to me. cause is it's not really an edge. the real edge does not work in any time frame or any instrument. and name for it would be a holy grail,not an 'edge'.at least from my point of view.
my own definition of edge is that it's either technical(set of tools that other participants doesn't have),regulatory(subpenny for example) or very sophisticated algorithm that give you an advantage over rest of participants something that allow you produce profits every single day. it could be small profits(as in my own experience)with limited liquidity\scalability,but they are very consistent and stable. that's an edge. again-in my case-it was a very specific,coded set of rules that anyone can trade and execute.so the results can't vary. everything was hard coded.
it looks to me that OP was nowhere near of any 'edge'. all he got is an 'idea'. no proof or expirience that it will work,no numbers,no back testing, no paper trading,nothing. at least we don't know that. btw. to OP-you can have those numbers just by buy and hold IWM for last few years.![]()
Quote from kut2k2:
This is silly. Out of a thousand new users, if the edge is real then the number will soon grow to a million (What are the chances of not at least one mook among the thousand shooting his mouth off to anybody in earshot? Zero). Pretty soon the edge creator finds himself competing with many other traders in his instrument, his time frame, etc. for exactly his entry point(s). Real "smart".
TA has a history of indicators that started out strong until some idiot published them then they died the death of a thousand cuts.

Quote from Bob111:
the real edge does not work in any time frame...
Quote from Bob111:
...or any instrument
Some financial instruments (like the Forex or the Interest rates market) do respond to trend-following techniques, while others (like the equity indexes for example) are strictly mean-reverting.
Quote from WD40:
if you have to ask, that means you are not ready.
to answer you directly with no disrespect: yes, it is foolhardy to even dream about it. Trading looks easy, but it is difficult. It is not the amount of capital that matters, it is not a track record that matters, it is a state of mind that determines whether you will survive or not.